[Skywarn] Local Storm Surge Forecasting

Lloyd Colston lcolston at altusok.gov
Tue Jul 28 21:14:13 EDT 2015


The COMET Program is pleased to announce the publication of the new lesson,
"Use of Probabilistic Surge Guidance in Local Storm Surge Forecasting”.
This lesson introduces forecasters to the probabilistic storm surge
guidance used by the National Weather Service to assess local surge threats
and impacts. It will provide practice in determining the chance that
critical surge thresholds may be reached or exceeded and when this is most
likely to occur. Developing a public message that includes important
potential surge values, threats, and impacts information will also be
explored. The lesson will take ~45 minutes to complete (not including the
quiz).

We strongly recommend reviewing the “Introduction to Tropical Cyclone Storm
Surge”, “Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge”, and “Storm Surge and
Datums” lessons before beginning this lesson. Without these prerequisites,
learners may find this lesson very challenging.

The intended audience for "Use of Probabilistic Surge Guidance in Local
Storm Surge Forecasting" includes forecasters in the U.S., Canada, and the
Caribbean, emergency managers, and others with general interest in tropical
cyclone storm surge. National Weather Service forecast offices could also
use the module in their training programs in preparation for hurricane
season.  Please follow this link to the MetEd description page that
provides additional information and the link to begin the lesson:
https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1160

The MetEd website relies on JavaScript, and some lessons rely on Adobe®
Flash® for navigation, animation, and/or presentation of multimedia
elements. Ensure that you have a browser updated to its latest version with
JavaScript enabled and the latest version of the Adobe FlashPlayer
installed (http://get.adobe.com/flashplayer/). For technical support,
please visit our Registration and Support FAQs at
https://www.meted.ucar.edu/resources_faq.php

We welcome any comments or questions you may have regarding the content,
instructional approach, or use of this lesson. Please e-mail your comments
or questions to Tsvet Ross-Lazarov (tlazarov at ucar.edu) or Vanessa
Vincente (vincente at ucar.edu).
Please do not reply to this e-mail.

-- 


Lloyd Colston   director
Altus Emergency Management
Altus, OK      http://www.altusok.gov
Phone:  580.481.2260
Fax:  580.482.4738

It is better to be informed than it is to be afraid.

http://twitter.com/altusready
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