[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 130324 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
915 PM CST SAT FEB 12 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-131100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
915 PM CST SAT FEB 12 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A 
STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO APPROACH FROM THE PLAINS. THE MAJORITY OF 
THE RAIN WILL BE LIGHT BUT A FEW LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE 
POSSIBLE. WHILE NOT LIKELY...A THUNDERSTORM CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. AS 
SUCH...FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1/4 
TO 1/2 INCH THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY UP TO AN INCH.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE 
DIMINISHING BY NOON. THE PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST AS 
THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND INTO EASTERN. 
MISSOURI.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE MOSTLY DRY ALTHOUGH A STRAY SHOWER CAN NOT 
BE RULED OUT. THERE MAY EVEN BE SUNSHINE AT TIMES. THIS WILL ALLOW 
TEMPERATURES TO WARM WELL INTO THE 60S...WITH A FEW AREAS IN 
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS REACHING 70 DEGREES. THE WARMING WILL MAKE THE 
ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE. THE MORE SUNSHINE THAT IS SEEN WILL ONLY MAKE 
THE ATMOPSPHERE MORE UNSTABLE.

AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES...THE SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS WILL DRAG 
A COLD FRONT INTO THE STATE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO 
DEVELOP...WITH SOME OF THE STORMS POSSIBLY SEVERE. 

AT THIS TIME...IT IS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE WHEN THE STORMS WILL 
POP UP. IT APPEARS THAT STORM INITIATION WILL OCCUR WHEN THE FRONT 
IS ABOUT HALFWAY THROUGH THE STATE. GIVEN THIS...SEVERE STORMS WILL 
BE MOST LIKELY IN ABOUT THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF ARKANSAS...OR 
SOUTHEAST OF JONESBORO...LITTLE ROCK AND TEXARKANA. 

WHERE STORMS DEVELOP AND BECOME SEVERE...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES NOT OUT OF THE 
QUESTION.

THE FRONT WILL EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH 
PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL SETTLE IN FOR MONDAY. 

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE LATE TUESDAY 
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE STALLING NEAR THE LOUISIANA BORDER. A NEW 
STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN ARRIVE LATER IN THE WEEK...AND WILL INTERACT 
WITH THE STALLED FRONT. THIS WILL CREATE AN UNSETTLED WEATHER 
PATTERN...WITH CHANCES FOR RAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... 
SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
AND EVENING. 

$$

73,
Glenn