[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 131049
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST SUN FEB 13 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-141100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST SUN FEB 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT 
LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH FROM THE WEST EARLY THIS 
MORNING. MEANWHILE...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AS 
LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER KANSAS. WIND SPEEDS OF 15 
TO 25 MPH WILL BE COMMON...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. THUS... 
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE STATE TODAY.

THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE MOSTLY DRY ALTHOUGH A STRAY SHOWER CAN NOT BE 
RULED OUT. THERE MAY EVEN BE SUNSHINE AT TIMES OVER PARTS OF THE 
REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM WELL INTO THE 60S... 
WITH A FEW AREAS IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS REACHING 70 DEGREES. THE 
WARMING WILL MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE. THE MORE SUNSHINE THAT IS 
SEEN WILL ONLY MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE MORE UNSTABLE.

AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES...THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE 
PLAINS WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT INTO THE STATE LATER TODAY. SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...WITH SOME OF THE STORMS 
POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE. 

AT THIS TIME...IT IS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE WHEN THE STORMS WILL POP 
UP...BUT IT APPEARS THAT STORM INITIATION WILL OCCUR WHEN THE FRONT 
IS ABOUT HALFWAY THROUGH THE STATE. GIVEN THIS...SEVERE STORMS WILL 
BE MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS...OR EAST OF A 
LINE FROM SALEM...TO LITTLE ROCK TO EL DORADO. 

WHERE STORMS DEVELOP AND BECOME SEVERE...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES NOT OUT OF THE 
QUESTION.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL SETTLE IN FOR MONDAY. 

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE LATE TUESDAY 
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE STALLING NEAR THE LOUISIANA BORDER. A NEW 
STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN ARRIVE LATER IN THE WEEK...AND WILL INTERACT 
WITH THE STALLED FRONT. THIS WILL CREATE AN UNSETTLED WEATHER 
PATTERN...WITH CHANCES FOR RAIN STARTING THURSDAY NIGHT AND 
CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER 
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS.

$$

73,
Glenn