[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 290337 AAC
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1030 PM CDT THU APR 28 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-291000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1030 PM CDT THU APR 28 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE MAINLY CONCENTRATED IN 
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS THURSDAY EVENING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL 
GENERALLY EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. FARTHER 
SOUTHWEST...ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT POP UP SHOULD 
REMAIN ISOLATED. NO ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO ARKANSAS FROM 
OKLAHOMA FRIDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BEGIN 
DEVELOPING DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF 
THE STATE. FARTHER SOUTH...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY BE CAPPED 
DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT PREVENTING 
STORMS FROM GENERATING.

DURING THE AFTERNOON...AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES EASTWARD AND 
TEMPERATURES HEAT UP AT GROUND LEVEL...THE CAP IS LIKELY TO BREAK. 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT...MAINLY IN THE EASTERN HALF 
OF THE STATE.

IT APPEARS THAT THE STORMS MAY BE SCATTERED INITIALLY...WITH THE 
STORMS EVOLVING INTO MORE OF A LINE AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THE 
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TOWARD FRIDAY EVENING. 

STORMS THAT BECOME SEVERE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL 
AND DAMAGING WINDS. ALSO...GIVEN THAT THERE WILL BE A LOT OF WIND 
ENERGY ALOFT AND CHANGING WIND DIRECTION WITH HEIGHT...TORNADOES 
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF ARKANSAS AND TOWARD THE GULF COAST 
BY SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BRIEFLY...BEFORE THE FRONT 
BACKS TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNSETTLED WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED 
TO STALL NEAR THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT 
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY ON FRIDAY...MAINLY IN NORTHERN AND 
EASTERN ARKANSAS. 

$$

73,
Glenn