[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 290939 AAC
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT REMAINS ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING AND IS 
ALLOWING WARM AND MOIST AIR TO FEED INTO THE STATE. A DEVELOPING LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO ARKANSAS FROM 
OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING 
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE IN THE VICINITY OF THE WARM 
FRONT...BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER WITH TIME. FARTHER 
SOUTH...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY BE CAPPED DURING THE MORNING 
HOURS WITH A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT PREVENTING STORMS FROM 
GENERATING...AT LEAST INITIALLY.

DURING THE AFTERNOON...AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES EASTWARD AND 
TEMPERATURES HEAT UP AT GROUND LEVEL...THE CAP IS LIKELY TO BREAK. 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT...MAINLY IN THE EASTERN HALF 
OF THE STATE. IT APPEARS THAT THE STORMS MAY BE SCATTERED 
INITIALLY...WITH THE STORMS EVOLVING INTO MORE OF A LINE AS THE 
FRONT APPROACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TOWARD FRIDAY EVENING. 

THERE IS A CHANCE SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON. STORMS THAT BECOME SEVERE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ALSO...GIVEN THAT THERE WILL BE A LOT 
OF WIND ENERGY ALOFT AND CHANGING WIND DIRECTION WITH HEIGHT... 
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. WHILE THE ENTIRE AREA IS SUSCEPTIBLE 
TO SEVERE WEATHER...THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE IT WILL BE ROUGHLY 
EAST OF AN AUGUSTA TO LITTLE ROCK TO MALVERN TO CAMDEN LINE. THE 
FRONT WILL BE EAST OF THE STATE BY EARLY SATURDAY.  

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARD THE GULF COAST SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER 
WILL RETURN BRIEFLY...BEFORE THE FRONT BACKS TO THE NORTH AS A WARM 
FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE MONDAY 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL NEAR THE 
MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE...BUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY ON FRIDAY...MAINLY IN NORTHERN AND 
EASTERN ARKANSAS. 

$$

73,
Glenn