[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 282123 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
420 PM CDT THU APR 28 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-291000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
420 PM CDT THU APR 28 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT WAS DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
SOUTH OF THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE 80S...WITH 60S AND 70S 
FARTHER NORTH. THE CONTRAST IN TEMPERATURES WAS MAKING THE 
ATMOPSHERE UNSTABLE...WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH 
OF THE FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL GENERALLY BE NORTH OF BOONEVILLE...LITTLE 
ROCK AND BRINKLEY...WHICH WOULD INCLUDE THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE 
STATE. SOME OF THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE 
HAIL THE MAIN CONCERN.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING FRIDAY 
MORNING...BUT WILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF WEAKENING. MEANWHILE...A 
STORM SYSTEM WILL BE DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO WESTERN SECTIONS OF 
THE STATE...WITH THUNDERSTORMS EVENTUALLY REDEVELOPING.

AT THIS TIME...IT IS DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN EXACTLY WHEN THE STORMS 
WILL REGENERATE. AFTER RAIN OVERNIGHT...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL NEED 
SOME TIME TO WARM UP AND DESTABILIZE BEFORE STORMS CAN BUILD UP ONCE 
AGAIN. IT APPEARS THAT STORMS MAY HOLD OFF UNTIL THE FRONT HEADS 
INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON. 

ONCE STORMS DEVELOP ON FRIDAY...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. 

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF ARKANSAS AND TOWARD THE GULF COAST 
BY SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BRIEFLY...BEFORE THE FRONT 
BACKS TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNSETTLED WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED 
TO STALL NEAR THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND SEVERAL 
WAVES INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE...BUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN HALF
OF ARKANSAS.

$$

73,
Glenn