[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 281840 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
139 PM CDT THU APR 28 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-291000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
139 PM CDT THU APR 28 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL 
DRAG A COLD FRONT CLOSER TO ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AS 
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HEADS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS. THE STORMS ARE MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP AROUND OR AFTER 
SUNSET. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. DUE TO THE 
PRESENCE OF COLD AIR IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS...ANY SEVERE STORMS 
WOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.

ALSO...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY FOR MUCH OF 
ARKANSAS. THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN OKLAHOMA...AND HIGH 
PRESSURE ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL BE IN 
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO EACH OTHER. THIS WILL ALLOW SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 
TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATER THIS MORNING. BOATERS ON AREA 
BODIES OF WATER SHOULD USE CAUTION.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING ON FRIDAY MORNING
AS ANOTHER SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS. THE SYSTEM WILL PUSH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OFF TO
THE NORTH AND EAST. HOWEVER...STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE ON
FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ATTENTION THEN WILL TURN TO THE COLD FRONT ENTERING WESTERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. AT THIS
TIME...THE SPEED OF THE COLD FRONT IS STILL IN QUESTION. IT APPEARS
THAT THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP IN EASTERN ARKANSAS 
BY THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. THE STORMS WOULD BE CAPABLE 
OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. 

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE PRIMARY THREAT OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT WILL BE IN THE EASTERN 
HALF OF ARKANSAS. HOWEVER...THE FORECAST MAY CHANGE. PEOPLE SHOULD 
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR 
ANY CHANGES OR UPDATES CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER 
EVENT.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF ARKANSAS AND TOWARD THE GULF COAST
BY SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BRIEFLY...BEFORE THE FRONT
BACKS TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNSETTLED WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED
TO STALL NEAR THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND SEVERAL
WAVES INTERACT WITH THE SYSTEM. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...BUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN HALF
OF ARKANSAS.

$$

73,
Glenn