[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 8/29/2005 4:01:19 AM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 290800
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
357 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2005

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-291500-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...ATLANTIC CITY...BETHLEHEM...
CAMDEN...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWARK...PERTH AMBOY...
PHILADELPHIA...READING...TRENTON...VINELAND AND WILMINGTON
357 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2005

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL REMAIN STATIONARY INTO 
TUESDAY. THE COLD FRONT THAT TRIED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION HAS
DISSIPATED JUST WEST OF US. THUS THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW
OF WARM AND VERY HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE. SHOWERS AND AT TIMES
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THIS TROPICAL AIR MASS AND THE RAIN
COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN ON THE DRY SIDE SO FAR THIS MONTH, BUT THE RAIN 
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS COULD BRING LOCALIZED AMOUNTS 
AS HIGH AS TWO TO FOUR INCHES WITH EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE 
BASED ON THE FINAL TRACK OF KATRINA. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE NOW 
FAVORS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AS 
THE MOST VULNERABLE AREAS TO THE HEAVY RAIN. 

STARTING ON TUESDAY, MOISTURE FROM KATRINA WILL START INFILTRATING 
THE REGION. THIS WILL INCREASE BOTH THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF 
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  WE HAVE BEEN GIVEN A BREAK AS 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE ANTICIPATED FOR TODAY 
ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO OCCUR.

THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS
EXPECTING KATRINA TO MAKE LANDFALL IN EASTERN LOUISIANA THIS MORNING.
FROM THERE KATRINA SHOULD TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST. THE
FUTURE PATH ONCE INLAND WILL DETERMINE THE AMOUNT AND HOW WIDESPREAD
THE HEAVY RAIN WE CAN RECEIVE.

THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL END LATER ON WEDNESDAY AS KATRINA 
INTERACTS WITH A NEW COLD FRONT MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES. IF 
THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE COINCIDES WITH DAYTIME HEATING, SOME VERY 
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR.

IN THE MEANTIME, STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ISSUED 
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY. IT MAY BECOME 
NECESSARY TO ISSUE A FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK AND OR A FLOOD WATCH 
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IF HEAVY RAIN DOES OCCUR, DO NOT DRIVE 
ON ROADWAYS THAT ARE PRONE TO POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. BE CAREFUL 
ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS DIFFICULT TO JUDGE THE DEPTH OF WATER 
ON THE ROADWAYS. 
 

$$

GIGI
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