[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 8/29/2005 3:32:05 PM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 291930
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
329 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2005

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-311600-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...ATLANTIC CITY...BETHLEHEM...
CAMDEN...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWARK...PERTH AMBOY...
PHILADELPHIA...READING...TRENTON...VINELAND AND WILMINGTON
329 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2005

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN INCREASES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL REMAIN STATIONARY INTO 
TUESDAY. THE COLD FRONT THAT TRIED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION HAS
DISSIPATED JUST WEST OF US. THUS THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW
OF WARM AND VERY HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE. SHOWERS AND AT TIMES
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THIS TROPICAL AIR MASS AND THE RAIN
COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES ESPECIALLY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY 
EVENING.

CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN ON THE DRY SIDE SO FAR THIS MONTH, BUT THE RAIN 
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS COULD BRING LOCALIZED AMOUNTS 
AS HIGH AS TWO TO FOUR INCHES WITH EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE 
BASED ON THE FINAL TRACK OF KATRINA.  

STARTING ON TUESDAY, MOISTURE FROM KATRINA WILL START INFILTRATING 
THE REGION. THIS WILL INCREASE BOTH THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF 
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  WE HAVE BEEN GIVEN A BREAK AS 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE ANTICIPATED FOR TODAY 
ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO OCCUR, BUT THERE WILL BE ISOLATED SHOWERS
LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL END LATER ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
KATRINA INTERACTS WITH A NEW COLD FRONT MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT
LAKES. IF THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE COINCIDES WITH DAYTIME HEATING,
SOME VERY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR WITH DAMAGING WINDS.

IN THE MEANTIME, STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ISSUED 
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY. IT MAY BECOME 
NECESSARY TO ISSUE A FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK AND OR A FLOOD WATCH 
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  
 


$$

EBERWINE