[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 8/28/2005 5:07:21 PM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 282106
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
506 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-291000-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...ATLANTIC CITY...BETHLEHEM...
CAMDEN...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...NEWARK...PERTH AMBOY...
PHILADELPHIA...READING...TRENTON...VINELAND AND WILMINGTON
506 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL REMAIN STATIONARY INTO 
TUESDAY, A COLD FRONT MOVED EAST AND WAS ABSORBED IN THE OVERALL
WEATHER PATTERN. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT, A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 
FLOW OF WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE INTO THE REGION. SHOWERS AND

AT TIMES THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THIS CORRIDOR OF HUMID AIR,
AND RAIN, COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES. 

CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN ON THE DRY SIDE FOR THE PAST MONTH, BUT THE RAIN
EXPECTED INTO LATE MONDAY COULD BRING LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 
TWO TO THREE INCHES. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE FAVORS THE DELAWARE VALLEY

AS THE CORRIDOR FOR THE HEAVIEST RAINS. 

THIS RAIN IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH WHAT WILL BE THE REMNANTS OF 
HURRICANE KATRINA, BUT STARTING AS EARLY AS MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY, 
MOISTURE FROM KATRINA WILL START INFILTRATING THE REGION. THIS WILL 
INCREASE THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IF 
THE HEAVY RAIN MATERIALIZES PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE REMNANTS 
FROM KATRINA.

THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS KATRINA 
MAKING LANDFALL IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY. FROM THERE IT 
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST. THE FUTURE PATH ONCE INLAND 
WILL DETERMINE THE AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL RAIN WE CAN RECEIVE. 

IN THE MEANTIME, STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ISSUED 
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY. IT MAY BECOME 
NECESSARY TO ISSUE A FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK AND OR A FLOOD WATCH 
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IF HEAVY RAIN DOES OCCUR, DO NOT DRIVE 
ON ROADWAYS THAT ARE PRONE TO POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. 


$$

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