[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 11/29/02 9:08:50 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 300322
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
900 PM CST FRI NOV 29 2002

MAIN CONCERN IS WITH WINDS OVERNIGHT THROUGH SAT MORNING. ARCTIC FRONT
EXTENDS ROUGHLY FROM SOUTH OF SIOUX FALLS SD TO NEAR LACROSSE WI.
STRONG 3-HR PRESSURE RISE BULLSEYE OVER NORTHEAST SD OF 7 MBS CORRELATES
WELL WITH MAIN CORE OF STRONGEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT OVER 30 KTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 KTS OR SO IN SOUTHWEST MN AND NORTHEAST SD. RUC CONSISTENT
WITH OTHER MODELS IN TAKING THIS PRESSURE RISE MAX SE THROUGH 
SOUTHERN IA AND NORTHERN MO AROUND 12Z. SO THIS AREA MAY SEE STRONGEST
WINDS. HOWEVER...LATEST OBS SHOW WINDS IN SE MN POST FRONTAL 
SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. SO FAIRLY 
CONFIDENT WE/LL SEE ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR A PERIOD POST FRONTAL AND WILL
RAISE WIND ADVISORY OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. 
REST OF FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH FLURRIES AND FEW PERIODS OF LIGHT
SNOW ACCOMPANYING COLD AIR. WILL BE DRASTIC CHANGE FROM MILD DAY 
TODAY IN WHICH HIGHS TOPPED OUT IN THE UPPER 4OS TO NEAR 60 DEGS!!!

THANX LOT FOR GREAT COORDINATION!

.DVN...
IA...WIND ADVISORY EASTERN IOWA OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.
IL...WIND ADVISORY NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS LATE TONIGHT AND 
SATURDAY MORNING.
MO...WIND ADVISORY FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY 
MORNING.

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