[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 11/29/02 2:47:31 PM

Fri, 29 Nov 2002 14:47:31 -0600

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.

FXUS63 KDVN 292100
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
300 PM CST FRI NOV 29 2002

MODELS OVER SIMILAR IN TRENDS OF THE PAST FEW DAYS IN KEEPING A DEEP
POLAR VORTEX AROUND HUDSON BAY. ARCTIC FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH CWFA
THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY POST FRONTAL CLOUDS/FLURRIES. AVN APPEARS
TO BE HANDLING THINGS BETTER THAN ANY OTHER MODEL AND WILL FOLLOW
FAIRLY CLOSELY. FLURRIES TO END SATURDAY MORNING WITH CLEARING
STARTING BY LATE AFTERNOON/OVERNIGHT. WINDS TO BE QUITE STRONG
SATURDAY BUT LOOKS TO BE JUST UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT WILL
HIT HARD IN ZONES. LACK OF SNOW COVER WILL PREVENT TEMPERATURES FROM
TANKING. WAA TO DEVELOP ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON/OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF NEXT
SYSTEM.

EXTENDED STARTS OFF INTERESTING WITH NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT REGION
MONDAY/TUESDAY. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE MOISTURE STILL LACKING BUT
CURRENT LOW POPS STILL LOOK GOOD. TREND WITH MODELS HAS BEEN TO GET
COLDER. THEREFORE WILL GO WITH STRAIGHT SN NORTHERN 2/3RDS AND MIX
ON MONDAY SOUTH THIRD. WED LOOKS TO BE A NEAR REPEAT OF SATURDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY COLDER BASED ON H85 TEMPERATURES.
QUIET CONDITIONS THURS/FRI WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES.

COORDINATED WITH DSM...LSE...CHI...AND ILX.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

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