[KYHAM] Ky ARES WEATHER ADVISORY !!!

[Ron Dodson]

TO: ALL KY AMATEURS
FROM: Section Emergency Coord. KA4MAP
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Attached is a Special Weather Statement from NWS regarding
the potential for heavy rainfall throughout Kentuckiana over
the next 36 or so hours.

Many areas have already received quite a bit of rain and
this addition precip., should it materialize, can cause
potential problems.  I am already receiving reports from
ARES members in some areas of Ky advising of rising waters
in localized areas at this time.

Be alert.  Monitor NOAA Wx Radio and the media for changes
in this developing situation and be sure to check out your
response equipment in readiness for possible calls for
activation over the next several days.

73,
Ron
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1145 AM EST MON MAR 18 2002

HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL
KENTUCKY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ONE TO THREE
INCHES OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI
VALLEYS WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND TUESDAY INTO
SOUTHERN
KENTUCKY. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE RIDING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG
THE
FRONT WILL TAP UNSEASONABLY MOIST AIR AND TRANSPORT IT NORTH
OF THE
FRONT ON THE HEELS OF INCREASINGLY LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW.
THIS
WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AS
STRONG JET
STREAM DYNAMICS ALOFT ENHANCE LIFTING OF THE DEEP MOISTURE
FIELD.

RAIN WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY BY EARLY THIS EVENING
THEN
STREAK QUICKLY ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA
TONIGHT. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES WELL
AFTER
MIDNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
ALSO ARE
POSSIBLE.

PERIODS OF RAIN THEN SHOULD CONTINUE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER
SOUTHERN
INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY...
STEADY RAIN MAY DIMINISH TEMPORARILY AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES
INTO
THE AREA...ALTHOUGH THIS COULD RESULT IN SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF
CENTRAL
KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA TUESDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER
WAVE OF
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT AFFECTS THE REGION. THE RAIN
WILL THEN
DIMINISH AND END ON WEDNESDAY.

SINCE MOST OF THE REGION EXPERIENCED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
THIS PAST
WEEKEND...THE GROUND IS NEARLY SATURATED. THEREFORE...IF
HEAVY RAIN
MATERIALIZES...THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE LATE
TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

A CHANGE IN THE LOCATION AND MOVEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT AND
ATTENDANT LOW PRESSURE WILL AFFECT THE LOCATION OF THE
HEAVIEST
RAINFALL. A FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY IF
WEATHER
CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN
AND
FLOODING.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA SHOULD
CONTINUE
TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA...AND THE
INTERNET FOR
MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER EVENT.