[K3CAL] FW: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released

Fri May 22 14:44:16 EDT 2026

Interesting. Thanks!

Andy

On Fri, May 22, 2026, 14:43 Andrew Charland <acharland182 at gmail.com> wrote:

> Interesting info from Calvert Emergency Management
>
> ---------- Forwarded message ---------
> From: Buckmaster, Kara R. <Kara.Buckmaster at calvertcountymd.gov>
> Date: Fri, May 22, 2026, 12:22
> Subject: FW: ***2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released***
> To: Andrew Charland <acharland182 at gmail.com>
>
>
> Sharing in case you’re interested. Feel free to share.
>
>
>
> *Kara Buckmaster, DPA, CEM, MDPEMP*
>
> O: 410-535-1600 x2781
>
> M: 443-684-4269
>
>
>
>
> <https://outlook.office365.com/bookwithme/user/[email protected]?anonymous&ep=signature&ismsaljsauthenabled>
>
> Let’s connect—book a Teams meeting with me.
> <https://outlook.office365.com/bookwithme/user/[email protected]?anonymous&ep=signature&ismsaljsauthenabled>
>
>
>
> *From:* Kiona Black <kiona.black at maryland.gov>
> *Sent:* Thursday, May 21, 2026 4:33 PM
> *To:* Kiona Black -MDEM- <kiona.black at maryland.gov>
> *Subject:* ***2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released***
>
>
>
> To: Local Jurisdictions, SCFLG, SEOC Reps, Fire & Special Operations
> Partners Cc: MJOC, MDEMStaff, Senior Leadership Re: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane
> Season Outlook Action: Situational Awareness; share with partners as you
> please The National
>
> ZjQcmQRYFpfptBannerStart
>
> *This Message Is From an External Sender *
>
> This message came from outside your organization.
>
> ZjQcmQRYFpfptBannerEnd
>
> To: Local Jurisdictions, SCFLG, SEOC Reps, Fire & Special Operations
> Partners
>
> Cc: MJOC, MDEMStaff, Senior Leadership
>
> Re: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
>
> Action: Situational Awareness; share with partners as you please
>
>
>
> The National Weather Service (NWS) officially released the 2026 Hurricane
> Season Outlook for the Atlantic Basin (encompasses Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of
> America, and Caribbean Sea). I have also attached a summary document of the
> NHC 2026 products and services.
>
>
>
> Feel free to utilize the infographics and attachments and distribute
> broadly to your stakeholders and a special thanks to our Region III
> Hurricane Liaison Team Lead Mike Bilder for the great summary of the NWS
> report.
>
>
>
> *2026 Hurricane Season Outlook Summary:*
>
>    - Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st through November 30th
>    - NWS predicts a *BELOW* normal season
>
>
>    - 55% chance of below normal season
>       - 35% chance of near normal season
>       - 10% chance of above normal season
>
>
>    - Storm expectations:
>
>
>    - 8 to 14 named storms (tropical/subtropical storms or stronger)
>       - 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
>       - 1 to 3 major hurricanes (Category 3 or greater)
>       - *This is not a prediction of how many tropical cyclones will make
>       landfall!*
>
>
>    - Factors influencing this below normal prediction:
>
>
>    - El Niño is expected to develop and intensify in the equatorial
>       Pacific during hurricane season with a greater than 95% chance that it
>       persists through peak hurricane season (September & October for the
>       Mid-Atlantic) which typically decreases Atlantic hurricane activity due to
>       increased wind shear
>
>
>    - There is still forecast uncertainty surrounding the strength of
>          the El Niño.
>
>
>    - NWS does expect slightly warmer than normal sea surface temperatures
>       and weaker than normal trade winds. These two factors are favorable for
>       tropical cyclone development, however, a stronger El Niño somewhat
>       mitigates these favorable developmental conditions
>
>
>    - *Remember, regardless of what the seasonal outlook says, it only
>    takes ONE storm to cause devastation across the Mid-Atlantic region and it
>    can occur outside of peak season during a strong **El Niño year:*
>
> *Downtown Frederick City, June 1972 - Remnants of Hurricane Agnes*
>
> *1972 Marked a "Strong" El Niño Year*
>
> *Helpful Links:*
>
>    - NOAA Press Release
>    <https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-below-normal-2026-atlantic-hurricane-season__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulYkg0wqGQ$>
>    - FEMA National Hurricane Program (NHP)
>    <https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/risk-management/hurricanes__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2Maulb6_cuZng$>
>    - NWS National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>    <https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.hurricanes.gov/__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulbfIOjCTQ$>
>    - NWS Weather Prediction Center (WPC)
>    <https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulZw6eNFCQ$>
>    - NWS National Water Center (NWC)
>    <https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.weather.gov/owp/operations__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulbD1oizGw$>
>
>
>
> *Graphics:*
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> *11 Days Until Hurricane Season!*
>
>
>
> Stay Safe!
>
>
>
>
>
> *Kiona L. Black, BSLS *
>
> Response Coordination Branch Manager
>
> State EMAC Coordinator
>
> State Hurricane Program Coordinator
>
> Consequence Management Directorate
>
> Maryland Department of Emergency Management
>
> <https://www.google.com/maps/search/7229+Parkway+Drive,+Suite+200+%0D%0A+Hanover,+MD+21076?entry=gmail&source=g>
>
> 7229 Parkway Drive, Suite 200
> <https://www.google.com/maps/search/7229+Parkway+Drive,+Suite+200+%0D%0A+Hanover,+MD+21076?entry=gmail&source=g>
>
> Hanover, MD 21076
> <https://www.google.com/maps/search/7229+Parkway+Drive,+Suite+200+%0D%0A+Hanover,+MD+21076?entry=gmail&source=g>
>
> kiona.black at maryland.gov
>
> (410) 517-3600 (MJOC)
>
> (410) 456-3243 (M)
>
> Website
> <https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/mema.maryland.gov/__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulbXZA1rNw$>
> | Facebook
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> | Twitter
> <https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/twitter.com/mdmema__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulbgO_Q1Fw$>
>
>
>
>
> Click here to complete a three question customer experience survey.
> <https://urldefense.com/v3/__http:/www.doit.state.md.us/selectsurvey/TakeSurvey.aspx?agencycode=MEMA&SurveyID=86M2956*__;Iw!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulZfZBfhIA$>
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[K3CAL] FW: ***2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released***

[K3CAL] FW: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released