[K3CAL] Fwd: FW: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released

Sat May 23 11:03:43 EDT 2026

Thank you Kara, Andy....

> On 05/22/2026 2:43 PM EDT Andrew Charland via K3CAL <k3cal at mailman.qth.net> wrote:
>  
>  
> Interesting info from Calvert Emergency Management 
> 
> ---------- Forwarded message ---------
> From: Buckmaster, Kara R. <Kara.Buckmaster at calvertcountymd.gov mailto:Kara.Buckmaster at calvertcountymd.gov>
> Date: Fri, May 22, 2026, 12:22
> Subject: FW: ***2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released***
> To: Andrew Charland <acharland182 at gmail.com mailto:acharland182 at gmail.com>
> 
> 
> 
> Sharing in case you’re interested. Feel free to share.
> 
>  
> 
> Kara Buckmaster, DPA, CEM, MDPEMP
> 
> O: 410-535-1600 x2781
> 
> M: 443-684-4269
> 
>   https://outlook.office365.com/bookwithme/user/[email protected]?anonymous&ep=signature&ismsaljsauthenabled
> 
>  
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> Let’s connect—book a Teams meeting with me. https://outlook.office365.com/bookwithme/user/[email protected]?anonymous&ep=signature&ismsaljsauthenabled
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> From: Kiona Black <kiona.black at maryland.gov mailto:kiona.black at maryland.gov>
> Sent: Thursday, May 21, 2026 4:33 PM
> To: Kiona Black -MDEM- <kiona.black at maryland.gov mailto:kiona.black at maryland.gov>
> Subject: ***2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released***
> 
>  
> 
> To: Local Jurisdictions, SCFLG, SEOC Reps, Fire & Special Operations Partners Cc: MJOC, MDEMStaff, Senior Leadership Re: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Action: Situational Awareness; share with partners as you please The National
> 
> ZjQcmQRYFpfptBannerStart
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> This Message Is From an External Sender
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> This message came from outside your organization.
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> ZjQcmQRYFpfptBannerEnd
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> To: Local Jurisdictions, SCFLG, SEOC Reps, Fire & Special Operations Partners
> 
> Cc: MJOC, MDEMStaff, Senior Leadership
> 
> Re: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
> 
> Action: Situational Awareness; share with partners as you please
> 
>  
> 
> The National Weather Service (NWS) officially released the 2026 Hurricane Season Outlook for the Atlantic Basin (encompasses Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of America, and Caribbean Sea). I have also attached a summary document of the NHC 2026 products and services.
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> Feel free to utilize the infographics and attachments and distribute broadly to your stakeholders and a special thanks to our Region III Hurricane Liaison Team Lead Mike Bilder for the great summary of the NWS report.
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> 2026 Hurricane Season Outlook Summary:
> 
> * Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st through November 30th
> * NWS predicts a BELOW normal season
> o 55% chance of below normal season
> o 35% chance of near normal season
> o 10% chance of above normal season
> * Storm expectations:
> o 8 to 14 named storms (tropical/subtropical storms or stronger)
> o 3 to 6 could become hurricanes
> o 1 to 3 major hurricanes (Category 3 or greater)
> o This is not a prediction of how many tropical cyclones will make landfall!
> * Factors influencing this below normal prediction:
> o El Niño is expected to develop and intensify in the equatorial Pacific during hurricane season with a greater than 95% chance that it persists through peak hurricane season (September & October for the Mid-Atlantic) which typically decreases Atlantic hurricane activity due to increased wind shear
> + There is still forecast uncertainty surrounding the strength of the El Niño. 
> o NWS does expect slightly warmer than normal sea surface temperatures and weaker than normal trade winds. These two factors are favorable for tropical cyclone development, however, a stronger El Niño somewhat mitigates these favorable developmental conditions
> * Remember, regardless of what the seasonal outlook says, it only takes ONE storm to cause devastation across the Mid-Atlantic region and it can occur outside of peak season during a strong El Niño year:
> 
> Downtown Frederick City, June 1972 - Remnants of Hurricane Agnes
> 
> 1972 Marked a "Strong" El Niño Year
> 
> Helpful Links:
> 
> * NOAA Press Release https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-below-normal-2026-atlantic-hurricane-season__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulYkg0wqGQ$
> * FEMA National Hurricane Program (NHP) https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/risk-management/hurricanes__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2Maulb6_cuZng$
> * NWS National Hurricane Center (NHC) https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.hurricanes.gov/__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulbfIOjCTQ$
> * NWS Weather Prediction Center (WPC) https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulZw6eNFCQ$
> * NWS National Water Center (NWC) https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.weather.gov/owp/operations__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulbD1oizGw$
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> Graphics:
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> 11 Days Until Hurricane Season!
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> Stay Safe!
> 
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> Kiona L. Black, BSLS 
> Response Coordination Branch Manager
> State EMAC Coordinator
> State Hurricane Program Coordinator
> Consequence Management Directorate 
> Maryland Department of Emergency Management
> 7229 Parkway Drive, Suite 200 https://www.google.com/maps/search/7229+Parkway+Drive,+Suite+200+%0D%0A+Hanover,+MD+21076?entry=gmail&source=g
> Hanover, MD 21076 https://www.google.com/maps/search/7229+Parkway+Drive,+Suite+200+%0D%0A+Hanover,+MD+21076?entry=gmail&source=g
> kiona.black at maryland.gov mailto:kiona.black at maryland.gov
> (410) 517-3600 (MJOC)
> (410) 456-3243 (M)
> Website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/mema.maryland.gov/__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulbXZA1rNw$ | Facebook https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.facebook.com/MDMEMA__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulZnyR-0SQ$ | Twitter https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/twitter.com/mdmema__;!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulbgO_Q1Fw$ 
> 
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> Click here to complete a three question customer experience survey. https://urldefense.com/v3/__http:/www.doit.state.md.us/selectsurvey/TakeSurvey.aspx?agencycode=MEMA&SurveyID=86M2956*__;Iw!!DQNvdwrwp7gU1Q!dxaqNvbwDFH9z1rxwiE-7zRK1iwwHz6Li4XqOarrjkezkKKag8OBXUCUcf5qPSPyvcxohzO5jsJlUt71PDyWhr0OfrzCg2MaulZfZBfhIA$
> 
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> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to mema-dl-local-directors+unsubscribe at maryland.gov mailto:mema-dl-local-directors+unsubscribe at maryland.gov.
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[K3CAL] Fwd: FW: ***2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released***

[K3CAL] Fwd: FW: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Released