[HCRA] Fw: Storm Coordination Message #1

[Eric W Tuller]

Eric Tuller  N1QKO
Assistant SKYWARN Coordinator for W.Ma.     Ware Emergency Management
Communications
Emergency Coordinator for the MTARTA    KB1HGK Radio Operators for
Missing Childern
CT+ MD+ VT+King Richards Ren Faires


Hello to all
.
 

.In the wake of Thursday’s Moderate to Heavy Snowfall, a Major
Nor’easter will impact the region around or After Midnight Sunday through
late Sunday Evening. Confidence growing on an inside runner bringing snow
and mixed precipitation changing to rain over the coastal plain with
heavy snow and mixed precipitation inland. Strong to Damaging Winds are
also a concern in coastal areas during the storm and in much of Southern
New England as the storm departs the region. Minor Coastal Flooding also
possible but low astronomical tides should mitigate a more significant
coastal flood threat
.

.SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Sunday Morning
through Sunday Evening
.
 
After Thursday’s quick hitting moderate to heavy snowfall that dumped a
widespread 5-13” of snow across Southern New England with 2-3” across the
islands, a major nor’easter will take aim on Southern New England Sunday.
Models, which were divided into two different camps Thursday Night are
merging toward one solution that brings an inside runner to the region
where the most likely scenario at this time brings the storm over
Southeast New England Sunday Afternoon and through the Canadian Maritimes
Sunday Night. If this track verifies and does not shift in future model
runs, inland areas north and west of the Mass. Pike would see heavy snow
and mixed precipitation changing back to snow before ending. Areas along
the coast and in the Boston to Providence Corridor would see snow and
mixed precipitation changing to rain before changing back to snow.
Warning criteria amounts of snow and sleet are possible in Southern New
Hampshire and much of interior Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts
possibly extending into Northeast Massachusetts. This may also be
possible in portions of Northwest Connecticut. Freezing Rain may also be
a threat in portions of the interior but very difficult to determine at
this stage. 
 
Across Rhode Island, and Southeast Massachusetts as well as East-Coastal
Massachusetts snow will likely change to rain and then change back to
snow before ending. With the recent snowfall, urban and poor drainage
flooding could occur in this region with the rainfall that is expected.
In addition, strong to damaging winds will be possible in this region
during the storm and particularly after the storm departs the region.
Across the remainder of Southern New England, the greatest threat for
strong winds will be as the storm departs the region. Minor Coastal
Flooding will be possible at the time of high tide but low astronomical
tides should preclude a more significant coastal flood threat.
 
Winter Storm Watches and other watches/advisories for strong winds will
likely be posted for portions of the region later today barring a shift
further west in the model guidance. As always with a nor’easter
situation, the more west the track is, the more rain that will affect the
region. A more offshore solution means more snow and/or ice for the
region. Future model trends will be monitored to determine what could
occur.
 
The next coordination message will be posted by 11:30 PM this evening.
Below are links to the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Marine
Weather Statement:
 Respectfully Submitted,
 
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)