[HCRA] Fw: Storm Coordination Message #2

[et-n1qko@juno.com]

                               Eric Tuller   N1QKO
    flash floods+warlords+winter storms+callisto+tornados
       WHEN ALL ELSE FAILS.....AMATEUR RADIO !!
earthquakes+monsters+hurricanes+evil gods+public service
    CT+ MD+ VT+ Stockwood + King Richards  Ren Faires

--------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "Rob Macedo" <rmacedo@rcn.com>
To: <Undisclosed-Recipient:;>
Date: Tue, 3 Feb 2004 08:17:33 -0500
Subject: Storm Coordination Message #2
Message-ID: <021001c3ea58$6c2ac5f0$51d8accf@skywarnmainpc>

Hello to all...

....Winter WX Advisory Replaces the Winter Storm Watch Over Western,
Central
and Northeast Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire. Winter WX
Advisory
also posted for Hartford County CT. The Advisories are in effect from
late
this afternoon through tonight....
....No SKYWARN Activation Anticipated but please report snowfall totals
every 2", final snowfall amounts and changeover in precipitation once the
changeover "takes hold" to NWS as needed....

A Winter WX Advisory has been posted for Western, Central and interior
Northeast Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire. A burst of heavy snow
will occur dumping 2-5" across this area before a changeover to sleet,
freezing rain and rain. Icing could build up as much as 1/4" across the
area
before turning to rain or ending overnight across much of this region.

Across the remainder of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island, the
precipitation will fall mostly as rain after possibly a brief period of
snow
or sleet.

SKYWARN Spotters are asked to report snowfall every 2", final snowfall
amounts and precipitation changeover after the change takes hold to NWS
Taunton.

This will be the last coordination message on this event. Below is the
Winter WX Advisory statement and Hazardous WX Outlook from NWS Taunton:

WWUS41 KBOX 030934
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
435 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2004

.COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AT DAYBREAK...WITH ONE CENTER IN MICHIGAN AND A
SECONDARY FORMING IN THE COASTAL CAROLINAS...WILL MERGE INTO ONE
STRENGTHENING GALE CENTER NEAR NEW YORK CITY THIS EVENING. THIS LOW
WILL THEN RACE INTO MAINE JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  IT WILL BRING A 4 TO
6 HOUR BURST OF BRIEFLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...MOSTLY RAIN ALONG THE COAST WITH A
SLIPPERY MESS INLAND WHERE ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION LATE TODAY IN THE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION. THE SNOW WILL MAKE ROADWAYS SLICK. PAY ATTENTION TO
CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. SLOW DOWN...AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION.

CTZ002-MAZ009-011-012-031700-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-HARTFORD CT-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
435 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2004

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11
PM EST THIS EVENING...

SNOW WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP IN THE HARTFORD SPRINGFIELD AREA
BETWEEN 230 PM AND 4 PM AND QUICKLY CHANGE TO A BURST OF HEAVY
SNOW FOR AN HOUR OR TWO DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. THIS WILL COAT
ALL UNTREATED SURFACES WITH A QUICK INCH OR TWO OF SNOW BY 6 OCLOCK.
IT WILL THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN BETWEEN 7 AND 9 PM AND
END BY MIDNIGHT.  A FEW LOCATIONS IN FAR WESTERN HARTFORD AND HAMPDEN
COUNTIES NEAR TOLLAND...HARTLAND AND CANTON COULD RECEIVE 3 INCHES IN
2 HOURS LATE TODAY.  VISIBILITY WILL LIKELY BECOME VERY POOR
DURING THE EVENING DRIVE TIME SO PLAN ON A LITTLE EXTRA TIME DURING
THE EVENING COMMUTE.  IN SOUTHERN WORCESTER COUNTY INCLUDING
STURBRIDGE AND THE CITY OF WORCESTER...SNOW WILL LIKELY START BETWEEN
330 PM AND 5 PM. THERE TOO IT IS LIKELY ACCUMULATE A QUICK INCH OR 2
BY 7 PM...BEFORE THE CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN THIS EVENING.

$$

MAZ005-006-NHZ012-031523-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
435 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2004

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING MIDNIGHT
...

SNOW WILL DEVELOP FROM MANCHESTER TO NASHUA DOWN INTO THE MERRIMACK
RIVER VALLEY OF NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS BETWEEN 530 PM AND 630 PM.

IT WILL THEN COME DOWN HARD FOR ABOUT 2 HOURS THIS EVENING...BEFORE
ENDING AS FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN NEAR OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS FORECAST BEFORE A CHANGE TO FREEZING
RAIN. TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS ON ALL UNTREATED SURFACES THIS
EVENING BEFORE TEMPERATURES RISE BACK UP INTO THE MID 30S LATER AT
NIGHT.

SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED FOR AN HOUR OR TWO
THIS EVENING WITH VISIBILITY BRIEFLY REDUCED TO A QUARTER MILE. THE
LATE EVENING COMMUTE SHOULD BE VERY SLIPPERY AND PLAN ON EXTRA TIME
REACHING YOUR DESTINATION.


$$

MAZ002>004-008-010-026-NHZ011-015-031715-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
435 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2004

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
WEDNESDAY...

SNOW WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP IN NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHWEST
NEW HAMPSHIRE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 530 PM AND THEN COME DOWN HARD FOR 3
HOURS...BEFORE ENDING AS FREEZING RAIN NEAR MIDNIGHT.

SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS FORECAST BEFORE A CHANGE TO FREEZING
RAIN.

5 INCHES OF SNOW IS LEAST LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF ROUTE 2.

SNOWFALL RATES OF AT LEAST AN INCH AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED FOR A COUPLE
OF HOURS THIS EVENING WITH VISIBILITY BRIEFLY REDUCED TO A QUARTER
MILE. THE LATE EVENING COMMUTE SHOULD BE VERY SLIPPERY AND PLAN ON
EXTRA TIME REACHING YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

FLUS41 KBOX 031210
HWOBOX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
709 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2004

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-031209-
BARNSTABLE MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-BRISTOL RI-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-DUKES MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
EASTERN KENT RI-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-HARTFORD CT-
NANTUCKET MA-NEWPORT RI-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA-TOLLAND CT-
WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN KENT RI-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-WINDHAM CT-
709 AM EST TUE FEB 3 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF BERKSHIRE COUNTY...SOUTHWEST NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND ALL OF RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY.

A 5 TO 7 HOUR PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND BETWEEN 3 PM TODAY AND 1 AM WEDNESDAY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED. PLEASE REFER TO IT AND
THE ZONE FORECAST DETAILS FOR TIMING AND AMOUNTS.

TIMING AND PRECIPITATION TYPES REMAIN SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN...PARTLY DUE
TO THE STORM TRACK AND PARTLY DUE TO THE MARGINALLY FREEZING THERMAL
PROFILE THROUGH WHICH THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE GENERATED AND OR
FALLING.

IN A NUTSHELL...MOST...IF NOT ALL RAIN IS FORECAST SOUTHEAST OF THE
INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR...ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS AND SOUTH COAST.

FROM BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE THERE COULD BE 1 OR 2 HOURS OF WET SNOW
WITH AT WORST ONLY A COATING EXPECTED...GENERALLY MELTING AS IT HITS
THE STREETS.

THE IMMEDIATE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SUBURBS OF BOTH CITIES MIGHT
RECEIVE UP TO AN INCH OF SLUSHY ACCUMULATION...THE PROBABILITY OF
THIS AMOUNT IS UP TO ABOUT 60 PERCENT NOW...FROM OUR EXPRESSED
PROBABILITY OF 45 PERCENT YESTERDAY.

OF GREATER CONCERN IS THE INTERSTATE 91 CORRIDOR FROM HARTFORD TO
SPRINGFIELD DURING THE TAIL END OF THE TUESDAY EVENING RUSH HOUR. A
QUICK INCH OR 3 OF SNOW SHOULD FALL BETWEEN 5 AND 8 PM IN THE
CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY FROM SPRINGFIELD TO HARTFORD.

THE MONADNOCK REGION OF SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AS WELL AS HIGH
TERRAIN REGIONS OF FRANKLIN COUNTY AND FAR NORTHERN WORCESTER
COUNTY...NORTH OF ROUTE 2...ARE LIKELY TO SEE THE MORE SUBSTANTIAL
ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 7 PM AND MIDNIGHT...ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO 5
INCHES.  THERE IS STILL A SMALL (20 PERCENT) CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED 7
INCH AMOUNT IN THAT AREA.

SNOW SHOULD END AS A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN
AROUND MIDNIGHT.

GALE WARNING ON THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF 1 HR OF WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS BLOCK ISLAND AND
NANTUCKET THIS EVENING ON SOUTHEAST INFLOW.

WE DONT KNOW WHAT THE ICE FLOW SITUATION IS...BUT THE WAVE AND WIND
MOVING THE ICE COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR PACKING ALONG PIERS AND BOATS
AND RESULT IN DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
.WEDNESDAY MORNING...CLEARING SKIES TOWARD DAWN MAY ALLOW SOME
REFREEZING OF SURFACE MOISTURE AT DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY...WHICH WOULD
CAUSE ICY SPOTS..ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

.WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...MELTING SNOW WILL OCCUR DURING THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS WEDNESDAY AS THE MILDEST WEATHER IN A MONTH MAKES A ONE DAY
VISIT TO THE AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY RISING INTO THE 40S.

.LATE THIS WEEK...A COMPLEX AND PPROBABLY LONG DURATION WINTRY EVENT
IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.  THIS APPEARS TO BE SHAPING
UP AS SEVERAL SURGES OF ICE AND/OR SNOW...WHICH MAY STRETCH RESOURCES
IN TREATING THE VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TYPES.

THE ICING SITUATION COULD BE MAJOR...ITS VERY EARLY AND SO AMOUNTS
AND TYPES OF PRECIPITATION ARE STILL UNCERTAIN BUT THE EARLY SIGNAL
IS FOR ICE IN CT AND RI AND A SNOW/ICE MIX ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
MASS PIKE.

ITS STILL POSSIBLE THERE WILL BE ONLY ONE 18 HOUR PRIMARY SYSTEM
EITHER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WHICH WOULD MAKE IT EASIER TO HANDLE THE
ADVERSE WEATHER TYPES.

A NORTHEAST OR NORTHERLY GALE IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.  IF
THIS OCCURS...TIDE CYCLES WILL BE RISING A BIT AND THE COMBINATION
OF WAVE ACTION AND ANY LEFTOVER SEA ICE COULD POSSIBLY CAUSE SOME
LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING OR DAMAGE DUE TO ICE MOVEMENT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED FOR LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR SNOW
AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES OR MORE AND/OR GLAZE OF ONE QUARTER INCH OR
GREATER THICKNESS.

$$

DRAG

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Southeast Massachusetts ARES District Emergency Coordinator
SEMARA ARES Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo