[FLARES] HURRICANE WANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 12

Fri May 21 05:00:27 EDT 2004

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004

ZCZC MIATCPMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 210900
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WANDA ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

..DRILL! WANDA MOVING OFFSHORE OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST... 

.. HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGIN TO ABATE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA COUNTIES...

.. HURRICANE WARNINGS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS...

.. HURRICANE WATCHES EXTENDED NORTHWARD...

AT 5 AM EDT... 0900 UTC... A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO JUST SOUTH OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA FOR DETERIORATING CONDITIONS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI... GRAND BAHAMA... AND ABACO ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS BUT WILL PROBABLY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER THIS MORNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUPITER INLET ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE BUT WILL PROBABLY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER THIS MORNING.  A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES ON THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.  THIS INCLUDES THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF BOCA GRANDE TO LONGBOAT KEY BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

AT 5 AM EDT... 0900 UTC... A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

AT 5 AM EDT... 0900 UTC... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 24 KM... SOUTH OF FT. PIERCE FLORIDA.

WANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH... 16 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH... 169 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE CENTER MOVES AWAY FROM THE COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES... 113 KM... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... 282 KM. WITHIN THE PAST HOUR VERO BEACH REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 80 MPH.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 959 MB... 28.35 INCHES.

A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WANDA.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST 
AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA. 

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION... 27.4 N...  80.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD... NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...  105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  959 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.

BEVEN

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.
THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

For graphical APRS plots of the Forecast see:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/ui_cap.png
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/snapshot.png

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004