[FLARES] HURRICANE WANDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A

Fri May 21 02:00:16 EDT 2004

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WANDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

..DRILL! CENTER OF WANDA MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY... 

.. HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG FLORIDA EAST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI... GRAND BAHAMA... AND ABACO ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS.

AT 2 AM EDT... 0600 UTC... THE HURRICANE WARNING SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THIS INCLUDES THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.  

AT 2 AM EDT... 0600 UTC... THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTH OF BOCA GRANDE TO LONGBOAT KEY HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUPITER INLET ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.  A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO BRUNSWICK GEORGIA BUT WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING LATER THIS MORNING.

AT 2 AM EDT... 0600 UTC... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WANDA WAS LOCATED
BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH... 
LONGITUDE  80.2 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM... NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA OR NEAR JUPITER FLORIDA.

WANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH... 21 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY.  ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF WANDA WILL EMERGE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... IN SQUALLS OVER THE WATERS OFF THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST. WITHIN THE PAST HOUR A SUSTAINED WIND OF 101 MPH WAS REPORTED AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.  WITH THE PAST HOUR A SHIP IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA REPORTED 75 MPH WINDS. WINDS NEAR CATEGORY 2 WIND SPEEDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE AT THE UPPER FLOOR LEVELS OF HIGH RISE BUILDINGS IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC UP TO 70
MILES... 113 KM... FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... 282 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY SURFACE OBSERVATION IS  959 MB... 28.35 INCHES.

A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WANDA.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST 
AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA. 

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION... 27.0 N...  80.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD... NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  
110 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  959 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

BEVEN

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.
THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

For graphical APRS plots of the Forecast see:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/ui_cap.png
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/snapshot.png

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004