[FLARES] HURRICANE WANDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A

Fri May 21 08:00:10 EDT 2004

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004

ZCZC MIATCPMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 211200
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WANDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

..DRILL! WANDA JUST EAST OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST... 

.. HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD...

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO JUST SOUTH OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA FOR DETERIORATING CONDITIONS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI... GRAND BAHAMA... AND ABACO ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS BUT WILL PROBABLY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER THIS MORNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM HALLANDALE TO JUPITER INLET ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE BUT WILL PROBABLY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER THIS MORNING.  

AT 8 AM EDT... 1200 UTC... THE HURRICANE WARNING SOUTH OF HALLANDALE TO FLORIDA CITY HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF BOCA GRANDE TO LONGBOAT KEY REMAINS IN EFFECT BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 8 AM EDT... 1200 UTC... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.  THIS INCLUDES THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.  

ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

AT 8 AM EDT... 1200 UTC... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.1 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 24 KM... NORTH NORTHEAST OF FT. PIERCE FLORIDA.

WANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH... 16 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH... 169 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE CENTER MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES... 113 KM... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... 282 KM. WITHIN THE PAST HOUR VERO BEACH REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 89 MPH.  WITHIN THE PAST HOUR A SUSTAINED WIND OF 78 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE MELBOURNE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 959 MB... 28.35 INCHES.

A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WANDA.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. 

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION... 27.7 N...  80.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD... NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...  105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  959 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

AVILA

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.
THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

For graphical APRS plots of the Forecast see:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/ui_cap.png
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/snapshot.png

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004