[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42A

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Fri, 2 May 2003 20:00:00 -0400 (EDT)


This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

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HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  42A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT FRI MAY 02 2003

..DRILL! WILFRED MOVING AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM KEY 
LARGO SOUTHWARD AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY
SOUTHWARD.  THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED TONIGHT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO BAYPORT.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST FROM MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL
LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER THIS EVENING IN
EXPECTATION OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON THE LEADING EDGE OF 
THE HURRICANE REACHING THE AREA TOMORROW NIGHT.
 
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT NORTH OF KEY LARGO TO STEWART
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM MATANZAS WESTWARD
TO PINAR DEL RIO.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.1 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES
..135 KM...WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WILFRED HAS WOBBLED TO THE WEST THE LAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED
TO RESUME A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH LATER TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 
UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS  974 MB...28.76 INCHES.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST AND THE KEYS.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNING AREA...BUT WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE TONIGHT.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND CENTRAL FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...24.7 N... 83.1 W.  MOVEMENT...
EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 974 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 PM EDT.
 
GUINEY
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/030000m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/030000.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise