[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40B

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 021300
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
9 AM EDT FRI MAY 02 2003

..DRILL! WILFRED CLOSING IN ON THE FLORIDA KEYS...
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA
CITY ON THE EAST COAST SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD.  

AT 9 AM EDT...1300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO
JUST NORTH OF FLORIDA CITY HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.  INTERESTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS AS
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE LIKELY
TO CONTINUE TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM JUST NORTH OF FLORIDA CITY TO STUART.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF
LONGBOAT KEY TO BAYPORT.  TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MATANZAS WESTWARD TO PINAR DEL
RIO...CUBA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM LOUISIANA EASTWARD SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NECESSARY FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER
TODAY.
 
AT 9 AM EDT...1300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES
..50 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
..22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS BRINGING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE OVER THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE
LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
AND RAIN COVER A WIDE SWATH.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR..IN A SMALL
AREA EAST OF THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  WITHIN THE PAST FEW MINUTES A
GUST TO 69 MPH WAS REPORTED AT KEY WEST.  A GUST TO 76 MPH WAS
REPORTED RECENTLY FROM MARATHON.  MUCH STRONGER WINDS ARE LIKELY TO
OCCUR IN THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT TWO HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
MAINLY TO EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
  
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CUBA...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED. 
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
REPEATING THE 9 AM EDT POSITION...24.2 N... 81.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. 
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/021300m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/021300.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise