[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 300000
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2003

..WILFRED WEAKENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF HISPANIOLA...BUT EXPECTED
TO RESTRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY...THREATENS CUBA...THE BAHAMAS AND
SOUTH FLORIDA...  
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING...
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
..HAITI...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND
EASTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF LAS TUNAS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND FOR CUBA
FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

INTERESTS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS
SUBSIDE.

A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.3 WEST OR ABOUT
70 MILES...110 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.
ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER HISPANIOLA
TONIGHT...AND EMERGE OVER WATER WEDNESDAY MORNING. IT IS IMPORTANT
NOT TO FOCUS ON THE PRECISE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE HURRICANES
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAINS COVER A WIDE SWATH.

WILFRED HAS BEEN WEAKENING WHILE MOVING OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS LAND
MASS OF HISPANIOLA.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR
95 MPH...155 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS PARTICULARLY OVER ELEVATED
AREAS.   FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER
HISPANIOLA.  HOWEVER...WILFRED IS EXPECTED STRENGTHEN AGAIN WHEN THE
CENTER EMERGES OVER WATER.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED. THIS
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH WILFRED.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...18.9 N... 71.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD... WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
95 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
AT 11 PM EDT.
 
PASCH
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/300000m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/300000.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise