[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26B

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 290100 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
9 PM AST MON APR 29 2003

..DRILL! DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILFRED BATTERING PURETO RICO...

HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. AND BRITISH 
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM 
ST. NICOLAS TO THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR
EASTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF LAS TUNAS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MAINTAIN
PRECAUTIONS UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 9 PM AST...0100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.4 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS INLAND
IN THE VICINITY OF COAMO...OR ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...MOVING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE
ACROSS PUERTO RICO TONIGHT.  REMEMBER...IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS
ON THE PRECISE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT 
AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS COVER A WIDE SWATH.  THOSE EXPERIENCING THE
CALM EYE OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AND NOT VENTURE
OUTDOORS AS WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY AGAIN. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
WILFRED IS A CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 175 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
THERE WERE UNOFFICIAL REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 175 MPH AT AN
ELEVATION OF 750 FEET ON THE ISLAND OF SABA EARLIER TODAY ALONG WITH
SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.  SOME FURTHER FLUCTUATIONS IN WIND
SPEED ARE POSSIBLE...BUT WILFRED IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A DANGEROUS
HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES FROM THE CENTER
..AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED...
ESPECIALLY AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE CENTER.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED 
ALONG THE COAST. 
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH WILFRED. 
 
REPEATING THE 9 PM AST POSITION...18.2 N... 66.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
..115 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

GUINEY
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/290100m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/290100.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise