[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 280600
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM AST MON APR 28 2003

..DRILL! DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILFRED POUNDING NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
  
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM DOMINICA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT 
FROM MARTINIQUE SOUTHWARD TO ST. LUCIA.

A REMINDER: A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS 
ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY
BEEN COMPLETED.  ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA...PREPARATIONS SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.1 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES
..24 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANTIGUA IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

WILFRED IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  REMEMBER: IT IS IMPORTANT NOT
TO FOCUS ON THE PRECISE TRACK OF THE CENTER SINCE THE HURRICANE IS
NOT A POINT AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS COVER A WIDE SWATH.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WILFRED IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN WIND SPEED ARE POSSIBLE...
BUT WILFRED IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A DANGEROUS HURRICANE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. 

A SUSTAINED WIND SPEED NEAR 70 MPH...113 KM/H...WAS REPORTED FROM
THE ISLAND OF DESIRADE THREE HOURS AGO...WHEN THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE WAS LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE ISLAND.  

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN ARE POSSIBLE EVEN OUTSIDE
OF THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NEAR 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE HURRICANE INTERACTS WITH THE ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...17.0 N... 62.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 966 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

LAWRENCE
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/280600m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/280600.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise