[W1SMH] Fwd: Situational Awareness Statement: Strong Coastal Storm Monday into Tuesday (Update #3)

Sun Jan 22 21:08:17 EST 2017

Ray Cord

On Sunday, January 22, 2017, Schwartz, Kurt (CDA) (CDA) <Kurt.Schwartz at MassMail.State.MA.US> wrote:

MASSACHUSETTS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS STATEMENT
Sunday, January 22, 2017
6:45 PM

The National Weather Service has provided an update on the strong coastal storm that will impact the state Monday evening into Tuesday. From the National Weather Service:

* Models have slowed the progression of this system by about 6 hours, so it now looks like the brunt of the storm will be mainly Monday night.
* Winds will reach their peak Monday evening on the south coast and after midnight on Cape Ann. Still looks like 60+ mph gusts. Could reach 70 mph, especially on outer Cape Cod and Nantucket.
* Increasing concern about ice buildups in the higher terrain of western MA and northern Worcester County. We are now forecasting 0.25" to 0.50" of freezing rain in those areas. This is borderline Ice Storm Warning criteria. There will also be a lot of sleet and some snow in those areas (total of 1 to 2, possibly 3 inches).
* Headline changes: Have issued a Winter Weather Advisory for much of north central and western MA (slopes of Berkshires) as well as for Hartford County (the Hartland area of extreme northwest Hartford County could have 0.1" of ice, along with some sleet and snow).
* This remains a dangerous storm for mariners. We still are forecasting seas of 20-22 feet with near-hurricane force gusts (55-60 knots) over the waters east of Nantucket and Cape Cod Monday evening and Monday night.
* Heavy rains in eastern MA and RI will amount to 2 to 2.5 inches with local 3 inch amounts. The majority of the heavy rain will fall in a short amount of time, from 10 PM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday. Besides urban flooding, we will need to keep an eye on small stream rises.
* As for coastal flooding, the timing of the main winds now coincides with low tide Monday night, which means that most areas should see only minor coastal flooding - splashover, etc. The winds will still be quite strong, though, with 20 ft seas off the coast, early Tuesday morning in northeast MA during the 8-9 AM high tides. Thus, there is some potential for reaching isolated low-end moderate flooding in places like Newburyport and Plum Island. It would require a 2.5 ft surge there, which is a little above what is being forecast. Coastal Flood Advisories may need to be issued in subsequent packages, but coastal flood Watches or Warnings are not anticipated.
Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Special Statements:

High Wind Watch
Issued: January 22 at 4:49PM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 3:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F83DF4.HighWindWatch.12583914B380MA.BOXNPWBOX.5802bf61a0169aecb734c17e0bb29804>

Urgency: Future
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Eastern Essex; Eastern Plymouth; Southern Plymouth; Western Plymouth

High Wind Warning
Issued: January 22 at 4:49PM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 6:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F83DF4.HighWindWarning.1258391528B0MA.BOXNPWBOX.ee28dbcf037ae5df37d0b7952b02d5c1>

Urgency: Expected
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Barnstable; Dukes; Nantucket

Flood Watch
Issued: January 22 at 4:46PM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 3:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F83CC8.FloodWatch.12583914B380MA.BOXFFABOX.eb8bd9ae29fc15458469d98d15e8eb3a>

Urgency: Future
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Eastern Plymouth; Southern Bristol; Southern Plymouth

Flood Watch
Issued: January 22 at 4:46PM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 7:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F83CC8.FloodWatch.125839154FC0MA.BOXFFABOX.c05539d97ca92323552293320c5a6751>

Urgency: Future
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Central Middlesex County; Eastern Essex; Eastern Norfolk; Northern Bristol; Southeast Middlesex; Suffolk; Western Essex; Western Norfolk; Western Plymouth

Winter Weather Advisory
Issued: January 22 at 4:20PM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 7:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F832A0.WinterWeatherAdvisory.125839154FC0MA.BOXWSWBOX.44509b9ac9a75fb726c38a6dca20c08f>

Urgency: Expected
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Eastern Franklin; Northern Worcester; Western Franklin; Western Hampden; Western Hampshire

Winter Weather Advisory
Issued: January 22 at 3:43PM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 7:00PM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F8148C.WinterWeatherAdvisory.12583922BD40MA.ALYWSWALY.a53407fa893c34e60bcb7daf38892a1e>

Urgency: Expected
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Northern Berkshire; Southern Berkshire

Wind Advisory
Issued: January 22 at 3:06PM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 7:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F80618.WindAdvisory.125839154FC0MA.ALYNPWALY.26135b6b0ce0a76bf3b0f4c6d7e564d9>

Urgency: Expected
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Northern Berkshire; Southern Berkshire

Special Weather Statement
Issued: January 22 at 12:00AM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 3:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F5B9D0.SpecialWeatherStatement.12583914B380MA.BOXSPSBOX.d2cb2f156fc2f0cd478469fb6767488d>

Urgency: Expected
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Western Hampshire

Special Weather Statement
Issued: January 22 at 12:00AM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 7:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F5B9D0.SpecialWeatherStatement.125839154FC0MA.ALYSPSALY.24005902cdfd1b82fe796d8701ea79e8>

Urgency: Expected
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Northern Berkshire; Southern Berkshire

Special Weather Statement
Issued: January 22 at 12:00AM EST
Expiring: January 24 at 7:00AM EST <https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA125838F5B9D0.SpecialWeatherStatement.125839154FC0MA.BOXSPSBOX.aca9cc3ac997c6d4e23b76002f36bb25>

Urgency: Expected
Status: Actual

Areas affected: Eastern Franklin; Northern Worcester; Northwest Middlesex County; Southern Worcester; Western Franklin; Western Hampden

[cid:image003.jpg at 01D274E0.3274D6E0]

[cid:image005.jpg at 01D274E0.3274D6E0]

[cid:image007.jpg at 01D274E0.3274D6E0]

[cid:image014.jpg at 01D274E0.3274D6E0]

[cid:image015.jpg at 01D274E0.3274D6E0]

Preparedness Information:

Tips for preparing for coastal storms are available on MEMA's website at: http://www.mass.gov/eopss/agencies/mema/emergencies/coastal-storms/

MEMA Operations:

The State Emergency Operations Center is operating at Level 1 (Steady State Monitoring). MEMA will continue to monitor the forecast for this storm and disseminate Situational Awareness Statements as necessary.

Stay Informed:
For additional information and updated forecasts, see www.weather.gov/boston<http://www.weather.gov/boston> (National Weather Service Taunton) and www.weather.gov/albany<http://www.weather.gov/albany> (National Weather Service Albany)

Utilize Massachusetts Alerts to receive emergency notifications and information from the Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency and the National Weather Service. Massachusetts Alerts is a free app that is available for Android and iPhones. To learn more about Massachusetts Alerts, and for information on how to download the free app onto your smartphone, visit: www.mass.gov/mema/mobileapp<http://www.mass.gov/mema/mobileapp>.

Utilize MEMA's Real-Time Power Outage Viewer to stay informed about current power outages in your community and region, and across the state, including information from utility companies about restoration times: http://mema.mapsonline.net/public.html

MEMA's Live Weather Radar and Forecast Resources Maps are available at: http://memamaps.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=0da6e4d888b74317b52b7a5064aa3dc2

Online Resources:
For additional information and resources, visit:
Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency at www.mass.gov/mema<http://www.mass.gov/mema>
MEMA's Facebook page: http://www.facebook.com/MassachusettsEMA
MEMA Twitter: @MassEMA<http://twitter.com/massema>
Federal Emergency Management Agency at www.fema.gov<http://www.fema.gov>
National Weather Service/Taunton at www.weather.gov/boston<http://www.weather.gov/boston>
National Weather Service/Albany, NY at www.weather.gov/albany<http://www.weather.gov/albany>
National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov<https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov&d=DQMFaQ&c=lDF7oMaPKXpkYvev9V-fVahWL0QWnGCCAfCDz1Bns_w&r=G1ixRwf3x5R0LsQlbYcePw_ZSPPfn9pdeMDI5HUtqLU&m=4fBaERRFacIZbfgfTEwV3KMkMzdxIYKDaQ2P7-vB3ds&s=zBLwHbRcOephqWAluyzEY0YtR_x6dfNcA8UCp2uPras&e=>
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Northeast River Forecast Center: http://www.weather.gov/nerfc/
Mass211 at www.mass211.org<http://www.mass211.org>

---------
This message has been sent from MEMA's Listserv.
To unsubscribe from this listserv, call MEMA Region 2 at (508) 427-0400.