[TxHam] Prepare for IKE coming HERE

[Brian K. Gaskamp]

Sorry for the double post.


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Brian K. Gaskamp" <ka5bkg at sbcglobal.net>
To: <txham at mailman.qth.net>
Sent: Wednesday, September 10, 2008 5:12 PM
Subject: Re: [TxHam] Prepare for IKE coming HERE


> Also another good site
>
> www.stormpulse.com
>
>
> Brian
> KA5BKG
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "David J" <kb5ylg at yahoo.com>
> To: <txham at mailman.qth.net>
> Sent: Wednesday, September 10, 2008 12:13 PM
> Subject: [TxHam] Prepare for IKE coming HERE
>
>
>> Time to check out your ready kits and update your family preparedness 
>> plans and touch base with you disaster relief team leadership.
>>
>> ---
>> National Weather Service Bulletin:
>>
>> Greetings -
>>
>> A quick update on Ike. We'll send a more complete update in the morning.
>>
>> SYNOPSIS - It appears Ike will have more of a direct impact on north
>> Texas this weekend. Latest guidance takes the center just west of the
>> I-35 corridor late Saturday through midday Sunday. Strong gusty winds,
>> torrential rain, and isolated tornadoes can be expected, especially near
>> and east of the center, if this forecast verifies.
>>
>> DISCUSSION - After several days of westward shifts in the guidance, the
>> latest forecasts for Ike suggest a more northern/eastern track, with the
>> center making landfall late Friday night/early Saturday morning north of
>> Corpus Christi. After landfall, the western edge of the upper level
>> ridge that has steered Ike is forecast to erode as an upper level system
>> approaches from the west. This will allow Ike to turn north, with the
>> system entering our southwest counties as a tropical storm Saturday
>> afternoon, and exiting our northern counties as a tropical depression
>> Sunday.
>>
>> IF THIS FORECAST SCENARIO VERIFIES - we would see sustained winds of
>> 40-50 mph in our southern counties, with gusts to perhaps 60 mph. Winds
>> would gradually decrease, but even our Red River counties could expect
>> 30-35 mph sustained winds with gusts well into the 40s. Multiple-inch
>> rains would also occur, with widespread 4-6 inch amounts possible near
>> and east of the center. On the north and east sides of the circulation
>> center, vertical wind shear would be sufficient for "mini-supercell"
>> structures in the outer bands, leading to a threat of isolated tornadoes.
>>
>> BOTTOM LINE - Closely monitor the latest forecasts and trends. As you
>> know, this has been an especially challenging storm to forecast. It
>> does appear that the threat is increasing for our counties. Keep up
>> with our websites:
>>
>> http://www.weather. gov/fortworth
>> (base info)
>>
>> http://www.nhc. noaa.gov
>> (National Hurricane Center)
>>
>> http://www.srh. noaa.gov/ fwd/wcm/embrief. htm
>> (Emergency Manager briefing)
>>
>> for the latest updates. We'll put out a more detailed briefing tomorrow
>> morning, and hopefully the details/potential impacts will become more
>> certain. We'll also likely start putting out some information for
>> public consumption regarding preparedness activities.
>>
>> Regards,
>> Gary W.
>> (still in Fort Worth :-) )
>>
>> _______________________________________________
>> TxHam mailing list
>> TxHam at mailman.qth.net
>> http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/txham
>
> _______________________________________________
> TxHam mailing list
> TxHam at mailman.qth.net
> http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/txham