[SMCARA] Re: TS CHRIS Forecast/Advisory 3

N3YZU n3yzu at yahoo.com
Tue Aug 1 11:40:05 EDT 2006


Hi  All,  just got this bit of wx info this mornin. 
Passing along to keep the wx picture in focus for us..
The heat  and humidity is overwhelming for us on the
east coast 
SO  be sure to have plenty of water at hand...keep the
hydration up for the next few days.

Regards,
Dave

--- "NHC Mail (Atlantic Full)"
<mail-storm-atlan-full at seahorse.nhc.noaa.gov> wrote:

> 
> 000
> WTNT23 KNHC 011429
> TCMAT3
> TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
> NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
> AL032006
> 1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006
>  
> A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
> ISLANDS OF
> ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...ST.
> KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST.
> EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...ST. MARTIN...AND ST.
> MAARTEN.  A
> TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
> CONDITIONS ARE
> EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12
> TO 24 HOURS.
>  
> A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO
> AND THE U.S.
> VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
>  A TROPICAL
> STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
> POSSIBLE
> WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
>  
> TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  60.3W AT
> 01/1500Z
> POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
>  
> PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295
> DEGREES AT   9 KT
>  
> ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
> MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
> 34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
> 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
> WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII
> IN NAUTICAL
> MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN
> THAT QUADRANT.
>  
> REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  60.3W AT
> 01/1500Z
> AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  59.8W
>  
> FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.9N  61.9W
> MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
> 34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
>  
> FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.8N  64.1W
> MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
> 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
>  
> FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.7N  66.3W
> MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
> 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
> 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
>  
> FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.4N  68.4W
> MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
> 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
> 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
>  
> FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.7N  72.0W
> MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
> 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
> 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
>  
> EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE
> AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
> ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY
> NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
>  
> OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  75.5W
> MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
>  
> OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.0N  78.5W
> MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
>  
> REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES
> OF 17.3N  60.3W
>  
> NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
>  
> $$
> FORECASTER PASCH
>  
>  
> 
> 
>
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73 N3YZU


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