[Skywarn] [Cometupdates] New from COMET: Forecast Uncertainty: EPS Products, Interpretation, and Communication distance learning course

[Lloyd Colston]

Additional training from our COMET friends.

Lloyd


On Tue, Apr 25, 2017 at 3:49 PM, Comet Announcements <
comet_announcements at comet.ucar.edu> wrote:

> The COMET Program is pleased to announce the publication of the Forecast
> Uncertainty: EPS Products, Interpretation, and Communication distance
> learning course. The course, targeted at operational forecasters, aims to
> improve their understanding of common ensemble prediction system (EPS)
> products so they can use probabilistic information in the forecast process
> and provide uncertainty information to end users.
>
> The course has several components. The Introduction to EPS Theory
> <http://www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/eps_theory/> lesson teaches the concepts
> needed to understand EPS products. It lays the foundation for the EPS
> Product Reference Guide <http://www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/eps_products/>,
> which describes the following products: mean and spread, box and whisker
> EPSgrams, shaded percentile EPSgrams, spaghetti maps, ensemble
> trajectories, plumes, probability of exceedance/occurrence, extreme
> forecast index (EFI) and shift of tails (SOT), and climatological
> percentiles.
>
> The Reference Guide, in turn, supports two communication lessons. Communicating
> Forecast Uncertainty <http://www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/fcst_uncertainty/> (published
> in 2016) is a comprehensive, scenario-based lesson that discusses research
> findings on the effective communication of uncertainty information and
> provides opportunities for learners to apply the findings to a North
> American case. The newly published Communicating Forecast Uncertainty,
> European Case <http://www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/fcst_uncertainty_intl/> lesson
> is intended for those who want to apply the findings to a European winter
> weather case.
>
> A culminating EPS Case Studies lesson (to be published in 2018) will
> provide additional opportunities to use EPS products to forecast different
> types of weather phenomena in North America and Europe and communicate with
> various end users.
>
> We welcome comments or questions about the content, instructional
> approach, or use of the lessons. Please e-mail them to Marianne Weingroff
> (marianne AT ucar.edu). For technical support, please visit our
> Registration and Support FAQs at https://www.meted.ucar.edu/
> resources_faq.php.
>




-- 


Lloyd Colston   director
Altus Emergency Management
Altus, OK      http://www.altusok.gov
Phone:  580.481.2260
Fax:  580.482.4738

Præparate Ante malum.