[Skywarn] Determining the Onset and Risk of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Lloyd Colston
lcolston at altusok.gov
Thu Jul 9 21:37:46 EDT 2015
The COMET Program is pleased to announce the publication of the new lesson,
"Determining the Onset and Risk of Tropical Cyclone Winds”. This lesson
introduces forecasters to the probabilistic guidance products used by the
National Hurricane Center to assess tropical cyclone wind threats. It
provides an overview of how these probabilistic wind speed products are
created, their purposes, and how to interpret them. The lesson also
provides practice in determining the total risk and timing for
location-specific peak wind events. This lesson will take 40 minutes to
complete (not including the quiz).
The intended audience for "Determining the Onset and Risk of Tropical
Cyclone Winds" includes forecasters in the U.S., Canada, and the Caribbean,
emergency managers, and others with general interest in tropical cyclone
impacts. National Weather Service forecast offices could also use the
module in their training programs in preparation for hurricane season.
Please follow this link to the MetEd description page that provides
additional information and the link to begin the lesson:
https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1190
<https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1190>
For those unfamiliar with probabilistic guidance, we recommend the
previously published lesson “Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge” as a
prerequisite https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1159.
The MetEd website relies on JavaScript, and some lessons rely on Adobe®
Flash® for navigation, animation, and/or presentation of multimedia
elements. Ensure that you have a browser updated to its latest version with
JavaScript enabled and the latest version of the Adobe FlashPlayer
installed (http://get.adobe.com/flashplayer/). For technical support,
please visit our Registration and Support FAQs at
https://www.meted.ucar.edu/resources_faq.php
We welcome any comments or questions you may have regarding the content,
instructional approach, or use of this lesson. Please e-mail your comments
or questions to Tsvet Ross-Lazarov (tlazarov at ucar.edu) or Vanessa
Vincente (vincente at ucar.edu).
--
Lloyd Colston director
Altus Emergency Management
Altus, OK http://www.altusok.gov
Phone: 580.481.2260
Fax: 580.482.4738
It is better to be informed than it is to be afraid.
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