[Skywarn] 5 Day Forecast - Debby

[Jacob Azriel]

Dear Jan
I agree with you at first The NCHC was predicting Debby to go towards
Texas. This Shows that they should not issue a five day forecast because
Debby has not been very predictable.
*
*
Jacob Azriel



On Sun, Jun 24, 2012 at 2:02 PM, How's The Weather? <
WeatherConditions at ledermanhome.com> wrote:

> Greetings.
>
> Just sent this email to the National Hurricane Center:
>
> "To Whom This May Concern:
>
> In my humble opinion, and with UTMOST respect and admiration for the work
> being done at NHC, it was shortsighted and irresponsible to issue a 5 day
> forecast for Tropical Storm Debby.
>
> Considering the amazing divergence and lack of agreement among the forecast
> models, it would have been more prudent to issue a *3 day forecast*with
> this caveat:  "Due to the lack of consensus among the forecast models, we
> can responsibly issue only a 3 day forecast.  When there is more agreement
> among the models, we will consider extending our forecast."
>
> By going out 5 days, and being incorrect, you appear unreliable.
>
> And you certainly don't want to do that..."
>
>
> Thoughts?
>
> Thanks!
>
> Jan
>
> --
> *Jan C. Lederman, Ph.D.*
> *Broward County FL Coordinator* *
> *
> *Community Collaborative Rain, Hail & Snow Network*
> *Station Number FL-BW-1*
> *954.483.6838*
> *WeatherConditions at LedermanHome.com <weatherconditions at ledermanhome.com>*
> *http://www.cocorahs.org*
>
> *                       "Anyone seen my rain gauge?"                  *
> *
> *
> *"I get the news I need on the weather report." -- Paul Simon*
> *
> *
> *"Some people are weatherwise, but most are otherwise” -- Ben Franklin*
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