[PBARC] Subject: Severe Weather Outlook

[E Glenn Wolf Jr]

Subject: Severe Weather Outlook

Friday, September 7, 2007, 8:15 AM

Active weather is expected in Arkansas from today through the weekend. 
There will be a threat of flash flooding, as well as some severe 
weather. I do expect that we will see some Flash Flood Warnings become 
necessary.

A slow-moving cold front will be making its way into Arkansas, and the 
front will meet up with some moisture left behind by former Pacific 
Hurricane Henriette.

 From this afternoon through mid evening, we could see a few severe 
thunderstorms, primarily north of a line from Fort Smith to Pocahontas. 
Damaging winds will be the main severe weather threat, although an 
isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. There could be some general rains 
in excess of an inch north of the aforementioned line. After the threat 
of severe weather diminishes during the evening, some thunderstorms with 
locally heavy rain will continue on through the late night hours. 
Elsewhere in the state, only isolated severe storms will be possible.

Saturday and Saturday night, the main focus for the heaviest rains will 
be the northern third of the state, with some rainfall totals of 1 to 3 
inches expected.

Sunday and Sunday night, the axis of heaviest rains should shift a 
little farther to the southeast, probably along a line from Ashdown to 
Hot Springs to Pocahontas. Again, there should be some 1 to 3 inch 
rainfall amounts.

The rainfall totals mentioned above are what is expected over fairly 
large areas. Otherwise, due to the high moisture content of the 
atmosphere, strong thunderstorms anywhere in the state will be capable 
of dumping 2 or
3 inches of rain in just an hour or two, resulting in localized flooding.

I will be out of the office for much of the day. However, I will issue 
another message when I return, though this may not be until after 4 PM.

John Robinson Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather 
Service, Little Rock Office Web site: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk