[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 260447 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1040 PM CST FRI MAR 25 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261100-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-IZARD-NEWTON-SEARCY-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-
JEFFERSON-STONE-HOT SPRING-GRANT-WHITE-WOODRUFF-GARLAND-CLEVELAND-
DALLAS-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-LOGAN-BRADLEY-SALINE-BAXTER-
MARION-SHARP-FULTON-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-JACKSON-CLEBURNE-
VAN BUREN-POPE-PIKE-PULASKI-MONROE-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-DREW-ARKANSAS-
CLARK-JOHNSON-
1040 PM CST FRI MAR 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT. 

A FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED NEAR THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF ARKANSAS. A
SYSTEM ALOFT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. 
THUNDERSTORMS TRIGGERED BY THE SYSTEM IN TEXAS WILL SPREAD 
NORTHEAST...MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS OR NORTHERN LOUISIANA 
TOWARD DAWN SATURDAY. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH 
LARGE HAIL THE MAIN CONCERN. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE AS WELL. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING SATURDAY MORNING IN SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS...WITH SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO 
HEAD EAST OF THE REGION BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A BRIEF 
LULL IN THE WEATHER TO FOLLOW. 

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE 
SOUTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE A SOUTHWEST 
WIND ALOFT...WHICH WILL PULL WARM AND HUMID AIR OVER THE STALLED 
FRONT NEAR THE ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA BORDER. AS A RESULT...RAIN 
WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD NORTH OF THE FRONT...WITH RAIN CONTINUING 
INTO SUNDAY. 

THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES...MAINLY FROM CENTRAL INTO 
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. SHOULD THE FRONT SHIFT TO THE NORTH...HEAVY RAIN 
COULD AFFECT THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCH 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY 
MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

NEAR THE FRONT...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME STORMS MAY BE 
SEVERE IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS SATURDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS 
THAT SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE MORE LIKELY FARTHER SOUTH TO INCLUDE 
AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST.

PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AND 
FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THE POTENTIAL 
FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN IN ARKANSAS THROUGH SUNDAY 
MORNING. 

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO APPROACH ARKANSAS ON 
WEDNESDAY...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO 
THE STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THERE COULD BE A CHANCE OF 
SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY 
MORNING...MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS.
&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn