[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 251518 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
920 AM CST FRI MAR 25 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261100-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-IZARD-NEWTON-SEARCY-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-
JEFFERSON-STONE-HOT SPRING-GRANT-WHITE-WOODRUFF-GARLAND-CLEVELAND-
DALLAS-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-LOGAN-BRADLEY-SALINE-BAXTER-
MARION-SHARP-FULTON-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-JACKSON-CLEBURNE-
VAN BUREN-POPE-PIKE-PULASKI-MONROE-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-DREW-ARKANSAS-
CLARK-JOHNSON-
920 AM CST FRI MAR 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS MOST OF ARKANSAS TODAY. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT AND DRIER AIR IN PLACE SHOULD KEEP THUNDERSTORMS 
FROM DEVELOPING IN THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON. 

LATER TONIGHT...THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN 
BORDER OF ARKANSAS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN TEXAS THEN 
SPREAD NORTHEAST...MOVING INTO MOSTLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF 
ARKANSAS MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 
WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY 

THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TO THE SOUTH OF ARKANSAS SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY WHILE A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES TOWARD THE AREA.
THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY. A STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND 
MOVE ALONG IT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. PRESENT INDICATIONS 
ARE THAT THE SURFACE LOW WILL STAY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF
ARKANSAS. 

THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE HAIL...MAY
BE ONGOING ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING. THESE SHOULD
WEAKEN OR MOVE OUT OF THE STATE. BY LATE SATURDAY...STEADY RAIN
WILL MOVE INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE WEST AND SHOULD COVER THE STATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. HEAVY
RAIN MAY CONTINUE IN PARTS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS INTO SUNDAY. 
THERE COULD BE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING FROM RAINS AND FLOODING
OF SMALL STREAMS AND SOME RIVERS COULD DEVELOP. 

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND 
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL WILL AGAIN BE THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER IN THE STATE. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND IS POSSIBLE AND 
A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. HOWEVER...THE MAIN CHANCE
OF TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH AND EAST OF ARKANSAS.
THIS COULD CHANGE IF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER NORTH 
THAN EXPECTED. 

ALL SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE TO THE EAST OF ARKANSAS BY SUNDAY 
MORNING.    

PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AND 
FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THE POTENTIAL 
FOR SEVERE WEATHER IN ARKANSAS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. 

ANORTHER STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO APPROACH ARKANSAS ON 
WEDNESDAY...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO 
THE STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THERE COULD BE A CHANCE OF 
SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS WEATHER SYSTEM.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE TONIGHT...MOSTLY IN THE 
SOUTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS.
&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn