[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 251258 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST FRI MAR 25 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261100-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-IZARD-NEWTON-SEARCY-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-
JEFFERSON-STONE-HOT SPRING-GRANT-WHITE-WOODRUFF-GARLAND-CLEVELAND-
DALLAS-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-LOGAN-BRADLEY-SALINE-BAXTER-
MARION-SHARP-FULTON-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-JACKSON-CLEBURNE-
VAN BUREN-POPE-PIKE-PULASKI-MONROE-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-DREW-ARKANSAS-
CLARK-JOHNSON-
500 AM CST FRI MAR 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT LOCATED ALONG THE ARKANSAS OKLAHOMA BORDER THIS MORNING 
WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE TODAY AS AN AREA OF LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM HEADS EASTWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

THIS LOW DID GENERATE SOME LIGHT RAIN AND EVEN A FEW STRONG TO 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MOVED ACROSS THE NORTH. LEFTOVER SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING BUT NO SEVERE 
WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FROM HERE ON OUT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO A 
MUCH MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL END BY LATE 
MORNING WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. A WEAK 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN TONIGHT.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY 

THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL SOUTH OF ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY BUT 
ONLY BRIEFLY...AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO FORM AND TRACK 
ALONG THE FRONT SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE LOW 
WILL BRING MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS...RESULTING IN AN
INCREASING CHANCE OF RAIN STARTING SATURDAY AND CONTINUING INTO 
SUNDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND 
EARLY SUNDAY AS COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF GULF MOISTURE WILL BE INTRODUCED 
INTO THE STORM SYSTEM.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS 
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO 
SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 
AND BE LOCATED OVER EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA BY EARLY SUNDAY 
MORNING. THE AIR MASS SOUTH OF THE FRONT WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE WITH 
THE FRONT PROVIDING THE LIFT NEEDED TO INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS. EVEN 
WITH THE LOW MOVING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF ARKANSAS...SEVERE 
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS CENTRAL AND ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS. THE MAIN CONCERNS AT THIS POINT ARE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG 
WINDS. TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH IN 
THE VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT.

PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AND 
FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THE POTENTIAL 
FOR SEVERE WEATHER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. 

A NEW STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO APPROACH ARKANSAS FROM THE PLAINS 
STATES ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE 
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER ALSO EXISTS WITH THIS DEVELOPING 
WEATHER SYSTEM.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. 
&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn