[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 151031
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-161000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY JUST TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF 
ARKANSAS TODAY. THE FORWARD PROGRESS OF THE FRONT WILL BE STOPPED BY 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. A 
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP AROUND THE RIDGE...WITH A SYSTEM 
ALOFT RIDING THE FLOW OVER WESTERN KANSAS THIS EVENING. THE SYSTEM 
IS EXPECTED TO TRIGGER A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT... 
WITH THE STORMS MAKING IT INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHEAST 
OKLAHOMA BY DAWN THURSDAY.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE COMPLEX OF STORMS JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF ARKANSAS EARLY 
THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE STATE. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED 
TO TRACK SOUTHEAST...AFFECTING MUCH OF NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL 
ARKANSAS. THE STORMS SHOULD BECOME MORE SCATTERED DURING THE 
AFTERNOON HOURS AS THEY PROGRESS THROUGH THE STATE.

ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COMPLEX...THERE IS USUALLY A BOOMERANG 
SHAPED LINE OF STORMS CALLED A BOW ECHO. STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS 
OFTEN ACCOMPANY BOWS...AND THIS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN ON 
THURSDAY. 

ALSO...SUCH A COMPLEX OFTEN PRODUCES HEAVY RAINFALL. ONE TO TWO INCH 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR FROM ROUGHLY FAYETTEVILLE TO 
CLARKSVILLE...WITH AMOUNTS TAPERING FARTHER SOUTHEAST AS STORMS 
BECOME MORE SCATTERED. 

ON THURSDAY EVENING...AS STORMS WIND DOWN A BIT...A NEW COMPLEX OF 
STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH THE STORMS BUILDING 
INTO LOUISIANA. 

MORE SCATTERED STORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST ON FRIDAY...MAINLY ACROSS 
THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE.

OVER THE WEEKEND...THE STALLED FRONT JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF 
ARKANSAS IS EXPECTED TO GAIN MOMENTUM TO THE SOUTH. THIS WILL LEAVE 
THE REGION WITH A DRY EASTERLY WIND AND AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES. 

EARLY NEXT WEEK...LOW PRESSURE ALOFT MAY PUSH TOWARD ARKANSAS FROM 
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES. SHOULD THIS HAPPEN...THERE WILL BE AT 
LEAST A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN 
SECTIONS OF THE STATE BY TUESDAY.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...MAINLY 
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE.  

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE
VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn