[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 121057
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST SAT FEB 12 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-131100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST SAT FEB 12 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING 
STORM SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS. RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
EXPECTED STATEWIDE TONIGHT AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER 
TO ARKANSAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH WILL BE COMMON... 
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE THREAT 
OF FLOODING WILL REMAIN LOW.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PASS NORTH OF ARKANSAS SUNDAY 
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT...TRAILING SOUTHWARD FROM 
THE LOW...IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE STATE LATE SUNDAY AND 
SUNDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE 
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME STRONG OR EVEN 
SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT. HOWEVER...PERSISTENT
LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY 
AVAILABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER. IF SEVERE 
STORMS DO FORM...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE 
HAIL.

RAINFALL WILL END SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF 
ARKANSAS. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL SETTLE IN FOR MONDAY. 

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE LATE TUESDAY 
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE STALLING NEAR THE LOUISIANA BORDER. THE 
NEXT CHANCE OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST LATER IN THE WEEK AS A NEW STORM 
SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN THE PLAINS.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... 
SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING. 

$$

73,
Glenn