[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 211913 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
212 PM CDT THU APR 21 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- 
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- 
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- 
WOODRUFF-YELL-
212 PM CDT THU APR 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IN PARTS OF WESTERN
ARKANSAS...MOSTLY FOR EARLY TONIGHT...AND A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE 
WEATHER IN MOST OF THE REST OF THE AREA FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. 

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ARKANSAS TODAY AND WILL MOVE INTO THE 
STATE TONIGHT. THE AIR IN ARKANSAS WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE AS HIGH
TEMPERATURES REACH INTO THE 80S AND DEW POINTS WILL BE NEAR OR 
ABOVE 60 DEGREES. 

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING 
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL 
SYSTEM IS PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS 
THIS AFTERNOON. COMBINED WITH STRONG DAYTIME HEATING...SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND 
NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRIEFLY 
BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT.

THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL BE TONIGHT...WHEN THE COLD FRONT MOVES 
INTO THE STATE. A LINE OR AREA OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS 
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS WILL 
MOVE INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY TONIGHT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND 
LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO 
OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ESPECIALLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA IN 
WESTERN ARKANSAS. 

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND POSSIBLY
EASTERN ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT. THE STORMS MAY WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE
FARTHER INTO THE STATE...BUT DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE. ALSO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR 
AND THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS THE STORMS
WEAKEN AND MAY SLOW DOWN.   

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IN ABOUT THE SOUTHEASTERN
ONE HALF OF ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY DURING THE DAY. 

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING INTO THE 
EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN 
PROGRESS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING IN MUCH OF THE AREA. ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN DURING 
THE MORNING. BY AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS WILL REINTENSIFY OR 
NEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT...WHICH BY THAT 
TIME SHOULD BE INTO SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. INDICATIONS ARE 
THAT THE CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 
LATE IN THE DAY FRIDAY. 

UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE OVER THE WEEKEND. 
THE COOLEST WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY NIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S IN MUCH OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE 
USUAL COLD SPOTS IN THE NORTH COULD FALL EVEN LOWER AND SOME FROST 
IS POSSIBLE. 

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. 
THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER ARE LOW AT THIS TIME.  

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL PROBABLY BE NECESSARY IN NORTHERN AND 
WESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY TONIGHT AND MAY BE NEEDED INTO PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT. 

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn