[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

egwolfjr at email.com egwolfjr at email.com
Fri Apr 8 09:11:25 EDT 2005


Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 081307
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
806 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-091000-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-IZARD-NEWTON-SEARCY-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-
JEFFERSON-STONE-HOT SPRING-GRANT-WHITE-WOODRUFF-GARLAND-CLEVELAND-
DALLAS-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-LOGAN-BRADLEY-SALINE-BAXTER-
MARION-SHARP-FULTON-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-JACKSON-CLEBURNE-
VAN BUREN-POPE-PIKE-PULASKI-MONROE-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-DREW-ARKANSAS-
CLARK-JOHNSON-
806 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. 

DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN THE PLAINS DURING THE EARLY PART 
OF THE WEEKEND. THE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH ARKANSAS BY LATE 
SUNDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND 
SPREAD INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT. 

SEVERE STORMS...SOME OF THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY BECOME STRONG 
AND REACH SEVERE LIMITS. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY IN AREAS WEST OF 
A LINE FROM NEWPORT...TO PINE BLUFF...TO WARREN. DUE TO THE 
TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF WIND ENERGY PRESENT IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS 
OF THE ATMOSPHERE...AND COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ANY 
STORMS THAT BECOME SEVERE WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING 
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE NOT OUT 
OF THE QUESTION.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
AND INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING
TOWARD DAWN. AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS...AND
AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY RE-DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ARKANSAS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ONCE AGAIN...SOME STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF REACHING SEVERE LIMITS...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. 

AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT APPROACH ARKANSAS...THEY 
WILL ENCOUNTER A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OVER THE TENNESSEE 
AND OHIO VALLEY. THIS COULD CAUSE THE SYSTEMS TO SLOW DOWN AS THEY 
ENTER ARKANSAS. IF THIS IS THE CASE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
BE LIKELY TO DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS...AND THIS COULD 
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT AREAS MOST 
LIKELY AFFECTED WOULD BE THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE 
STATE. 

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST 
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY TUESDAY. HOWEVER...ABUNDANT MOISTURE 
WILL REMAIN OVER ABOUT THE NORTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS AS THE UPPER 
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTS THE MID AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY FOR SEVERAL DAYS. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE 
FORECAST ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED 
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. 

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn



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