[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 080955
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-091000-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-IZARD-NEWTON-SEARCY-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-
JEFFERSON-STONE-HOT SPRING-GRANT-WHITE-WOODRUFF-GARLAND-CLEVELAND-
DALLAS-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-LOGAN-BRADLEY-SALINE-BAXTER-
MARION-SHARP-FULTON-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-JACKSON-CLEBURNE-
VAN BUREN-POPE-PIKE-PULASKI-MONROE-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-DREW-ARKANSAS-
CLARK-JOHNSON-
500 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. 

PATCHY FOG WILL BE NOTED OVER ABOUT THE NORTHWEST HALF OF ARKANSAS
THIS MORNING. WHILE THE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW 3 MILES
IN SOME AREAS...IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE DENSE OR WIDESPREAD. THE
FOG WILL DISPERSE LATER THIS MORNING. 

DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING
IN THE PLAINS DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. THE SYSTEM
WILL APPROACH ARKANSAS BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS
SUNDAY NIGHT. 

SEVERE STORMS...
SOME OF THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY BECOME STRONG AND REACH SEVERE
LIMITS. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY IN AREAS WEST OF A LINE FROM
NEWPORT...TO PINE BLUFF...TO WARREN. DUE TO THE TREMENDOUS AMOUNT
OF WIND ENERGY PRESENT IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE...AND COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ANY STORMS THAT
BECOME SEVERE WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
AND INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING
TOWARD DAWN. AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS...AND
AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY RE-DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ARKANSAS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ONCE AGAIN...SOME STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF REACHING SEVERE LIMITS...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. 

HEAVY RAINFALL...
AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT APPROACH ARKANSAS...THEY
WILL ENCOUNTER A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OVER THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEY. THIS COULD CAUSE THE SYSTEMS TO SLOW
DOWN AS THEY ENTER ARKANSAS. IF THIS IS THE CASE...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TO DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE SAME
AREAS...AND THIS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. AT THIS TIME...
IT APPEARS THAT AREAS MOST LIKELY AFFECTED WOULD BE THE CENTRAL 
AND EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE STATE. 

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
BY TUESDAY. HOWEVER...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER ABOUT THE
NORTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AFFECTS THE MID AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD. 

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE VISIT
OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn