[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
830 PM CST WED MAR 3 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-041100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- 
WOODRUFF-YELL-
830 PM CST WED MAR 3 2004 

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH OVERNIGHT. 
LARGE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT...AND WHEN THIS 
INTERACTS WITH THE COOLER AIR OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS...DENSE FOG 
WILL FORM. AS SUCH...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE 
OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR THE AREAS NORTH OF A BOONEVILLE...TO LITTLE 
ROCK...TO DES ARC LINE.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH 
ARKANSAS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AN AREA OF SHOWERS IN NORTHEAST 
TEXAS WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL 
SECTIONS OF THE STATE OVERNIGHT. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE 
NORTHEAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. A COLD FRONT TRAILING 
SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW WILL APPROACH WESTERN ARKANSAS THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON...AND MOVE ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE THURSDAY EVENING 
AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FRIDAY. 

WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BE CHANGING DIRECTION AND 
INCREASING WITH HEIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH PLENTY OF 
MOISTURE AND WARMER TEMPERATURES LEADING TO INCREASING 
INSTABILITY...WILL SET THE STAGE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER 
OVER A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO 
DEVELOP...WITH STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. THE PRIMARY 
CONCERNS WITH THIS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WILL BE LARGE 
HAIL...DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE URGED TO KEEP UP WITH LATER FORECASTS 
FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE 
WEATHER OUTBREAK.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT. HOWEVER SPOTTERS WILL 
LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE 
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER INCREASES. 

$$

58


73,
Glenn