[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 022035
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
235 PM CST TUE MAR 2 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- 
WOODRUFF-YELL-
235 PM CST TUE MAR 2 2004 

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF ARKANSAS THROUGH THE 
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...DURING THE EVENING HOURS THE FRONT WILL DRIFT 
NORTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS AS A WARM FRONT...RESULTING IN INCREASING 
RAIN CHANCES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS 
ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING 
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES. SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL LOWS 
ARE FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AND INTERACT WITH THE FRONT...
BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. THERE 
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE FRONT.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK FOR A FEW STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS 
SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. IT APPEARS THAT THE FRONT WILL BE LOCATED 
OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THUS...THE THREAT OF 
SEVERE WEATHER WOULD PRIMARILY BE OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH 
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN CONCERN.

DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ON WEDNESDAY...ISOLATED STRONG OR SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS 
THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THE MAIN THREAT 
WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS WOULD BE HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.

ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST 
TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. A COLD 
FRONT TRAILING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW WILL APPROACH WESTERN ARKANSAS 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE ACROSS THE STATE THURSDAY NIGHT. A LINE 
OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH SOME 
STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN 
REGARDS TO THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND OVERALL TIMING OF THE 
FRONT. LATER FORECASTS WILL HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THIS DEVELOPING 
STORM SYSTEM AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

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73,
Glenn