[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 020240 AAA
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
940 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
940 PM CDT TUE JUN 1 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA 
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

A WARM FRONT CURRENTLY FROM DEQUEEN TO JUST NORTH OF ELDORADO...TO 
NEAR MONTICELLO WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT HEADS BACK 
TO THE NORTH...AND AN UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM 
THE WEST. DUE TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN THE 
ATMOSPHERE...THE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON 
MAY BE SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN CONCERNS.

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL 
CONTINUE MOVING EAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THESE 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ENHANCED ALONG THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN 
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF BECOMING 
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. 
FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO A CONCERN...MAINLY IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...DUE 
TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
WILL AVERAGE 1/2 INCH ACROSS THE SOUTH...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER 
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES.

ANOTHER SOURCE OF POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A COLD FRONT 
WHICH WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS MAY 
DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT AND A FEW MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL THE 
MAIN CONCERN...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEMS OR OTHER THUNDERSTORM BOUNDARIES ARE EXPECTED
TO BE IN AND AROUND ARKANSAS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. A FEW 
UPPER LEVEL LOWS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WILL BE CHANCES 
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG ONE OF THE BOUNDARIES
IN THE AREA COULD MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS RESULTING IN LOCALLY
HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING. THE CHANCE OF THIS
WILL BE ENHANCED AT NIGHT.   
 
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE 
MOST LIKELY AREAS WOULD BE THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS...MAINLY 
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MENA...TO BENTON...TO PINE BLUFF. 

$$

57



73,
Glenn