[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 011423 AAA
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
920 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
920 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE STATE THIS 
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A WARM FRONT TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE WILL MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. DUE TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE AND 
INSTABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE...THE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT 
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON MAY BE SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING 
WINDS THE MAIN CONCERNS.

A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE RED 
RIVER VALLEY OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING...AND MOVE EAST INTO 
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THESE THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL BE ENHANCED ALONG THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF BECOMING SEVERE...WITH 
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY CONCERNS AGAIN. FLASH 
FLOODING IS ALSO A CONCERN...MAINLY IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...DUE TO 
THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL 
AVERAGE 1/2 INCH ACROSS THE SOUTH...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF 
UP TO 2 INCHES.

ANOTHER SOURCE OF POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A COLD 
FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT. 
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT AND A FEW MAY BE SEVERE 
WITH LARGE HAIL THE MAIN CONCERN...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WIND IS ALSO 
POSSIBLE.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEMS OR OTHER THUNDERSTORM BOUNDARIES ARE EXPECTED
TO BE IN AND AROUND ARKANSAS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. A FEW 
UPPER LEVEL LOWS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WILL BE CHANCES 
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG ONE OF THE BOUNDARIES
IN THE AREA COULD MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS RESULTING IN LOCALLY
HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING. THE CHANCE OF THIS
WILL BE ENHANCED AT NIGHT.   
 
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ANYWHERE IN THE STATE MAINLY 
TONIGHT...BUT COULD BE NEEDED IN SOME AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. 

$$

58


73,
Glenn