[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 161052
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN 
UNITED STATES EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE TOWARD ARKANSAS TODAY AND 
TONIGHT. RAIN WILL INCREASE OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING WITH 
A CHANCE OF RAIN ELSEWHERE...THEN BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS 
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA 
SATURDAY AND WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL OCCUR FROM SATURDAY MORNING INTO 
EARLY SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH OR EXCEED ONE 
INCH IN MOST AREAS. TOTALS AROUND TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE... 
ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS. AN AREA OF SURFACE 
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN NORTHERN TEXAS SATURDAY 
MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. 

MOST OF THE RAIN WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE IN INTENSITY ALTHOUGH 
POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE. SINCE THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO 
FALL OVER SEVERAL DAYS AND THE AREA IS CURRENTLY IN A RAINFALL 
DEFICIT...WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT LIKELY. HOWEVER...SOME PONDING 
OF WATER ON AREA ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE 
BUT THEY WILL BE ISOLATED IN NATURE AND NO SEVERE WEATHER IS 
ANTICIPATED. 

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT AND RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE 
ON SUNDAY...BUT SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM WEST OF EAST DURING THE DAY.  

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

38/22




73,
Glenn