[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 152121
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
330 PM CST THU JAN 15 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-161100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
330 PM CST THU JAN 15 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE RED RIVER OF TEXAS WILL LIFT NORTHWARD 
TONIGHT AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHWEST UNITED 
STATES. THESE TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL WORK IN TANDEM TO BRING WARM 
MOIST AIR BACK INTO THE MID SOUTH. RAIN WILL BE LIKELY BY MORNING 
OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE 
NATURAL STATE.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY 
AND RAIN IS LIKELY FROM FRIDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH OR EXCEED ONE INCH IN MOST AREAS. TOTALS 
AROUND TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN 
SECTIONS. AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN 
NORTHERN TEXAS FRIDAY MORNING AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. AS 
SUCH...THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR FROM FRIDAY NIGHT 
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

MOST OF THE RAIN WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE IN INTENSITY ALTHOUGH 
POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE. SINCE THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO 
FALL OVER SEVERAL DAYS AND THE AREA IS CURRENTLY IN A RAINFALL 
DEFICIT...WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT LIKELY. HOWEVER...SOME PONDING 
OF WATER ON AREA ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE 
BUT THEY WILL BE ISOLATED IN NATURE AND NO SEVERE WEATHER IS 
ANTICIPATED. WINTER WEATHER IS ALSO NOT A CONCERN.

THE STORM WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT AND SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO 
CONTINUE THE MAJORITY OF SUNDAY. THE RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY END FROM 
NORTH TO SOUTH LATE SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE 
BUILDS BACK IN.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

56


73,
Glenn