[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 111506
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
900 AM CST WED FEB 11 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-121100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN 
BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
900 AM CST WED FEB 11 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GULF MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE STATE TODAY...BRINGING RAINFALL 
TO THE STATE. A COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO 
ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE INTERACTION OF 
THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL BRING RAINFALL TO THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS... 
WITH WINTER PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTH.

WHILE MUCH OF ARKANSAS WILL SEE RAINFALL DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS 
TODAY...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING TO PRECLUDE ANY 
WINTER PRECIPITATION. WITH THE COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE 
..HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE 
STATE. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IN FAR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

THE NEXT ISSUE IS WINTER PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTH. DUE TO THE 
MULTIPLE FACTORS IN THIS SCENARIO...THERE ARE SOME QUESTIONS AS TO 
WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW WILL FALL. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE 
STATE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL DRASTICALLY IN THE NORTHERN AND 
WESTERN SECTIONS.

THE CAVEAT TO THIS SITUATION IS THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE PRESENT WHEN 
THE COLD AIR ARRIVES. MUCH OF THE MOISTURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST 
DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. HOW MUCH MOISTURE REMAINS IN THE 
NORTH WILL BE THE LIMITING FACTOR IN THE WINTER WEATHER.

AT THIS TIME...IT IS LOOKING LIKE THERE WILL BE SEVERAL HOURS OF 
SNOWFALL...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL OCCURRING BEFORE MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT. CURRENT THINKING CALLS FOR 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW GENERALLY 
NORTH OF A LINE FROM CLARKSVILLE TO BATESVILLE...WITH AN INCH OR TWO 
OF SNOW IN THE OUACHITA MOUNTAINS OF WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. RAIN 
WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW TOWARD CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE 
BY THURSDAY MORNING...BUT NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

58


73,
Glenn