[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 051629 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1025 AM CST SUN DEC 5 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-061100-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-
DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-
IZARD-JACKSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-
OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-YELL-ARKANSAS-JEFFERSON-LONOKE-MONROE-PRAIRIE-
PULASKI-WOODRUFF-
1025 AM CST SUN DEC 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
RAIN WILL BE WIDESPREAD NORTH OF A WARM FRONT ADVANCING TOWARD 
ARKANSAS FROM THE GULF COAST. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF IN THE SOUTHWEST 
HALF OF THE STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND IN THE NORTH AND EAST 
BY THIS EVENING. 

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE HEAVIEST IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE 
STATE...WITH ONE HALF TO ONE INCH AMOUNTS IN SOME AREAS. THIS WILL 
NOT BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY FLOODING...BUT IT WILL TEND TO SATURATE 
THE GROUND. THIS IS DUE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THE PAST 
COUPLE OF MONTHS. 

BY TONIGHT...RAIN WILL HAVE ENDED IN MOST AREAS...BUT LOW CLOUDS AND 
PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL REMAIN. AREAS OF FOG WILL ALSO FORM...AND MAY 
BECOME DENSE OVERNIGHT.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AS THE WARM FRONT HEADS TO THE NORTH ON MONDAY...WARMER TEMPERATURES 
AND A MORE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE NOTED ACROSS ARKANSAS. LATE 
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT...AN INTENSIFYING STORM SYSTEM 
WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. 
WITH A DESTABILIZED ATMOSPHERE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES 
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE MOST UNSTABLE 
IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE. THIS WOULD INCLUDE AREAS SOUTH 
AND EAST OF MENA AND BATESVILLE. GIVEN THIS...SEVERE WEATHER WOULD 
BE MOST LIKELY IN THESE AREAS...WITH LESSER CHANCES OF SEVERE STORMS 
FARTHER NORTH AND WEST. 

IN ADDITION TO SOME SEVERE WEATHER...HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY 
DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS. WITH A NEARLY SATURATED GROUND...HEAVY 
DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN PARTS OF ARKANSAS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... 
WITH DRY AND COOLER WEATHER. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE FROM 
THE WEST ON THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY 
WILL BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY 
NIGHT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER.

$$

73,
Glenn