[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 050219 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
815 PM CST SAT DEC 4 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-051100-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-
DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-
IZARD-JACKSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-
OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-YELL-ARKANSAS-JEFFERSON-LONOKE-MONROE-PRAIRIE-
PULASKI-WOODRUFF-
815 PM CST SAT DEC 4 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS A WARM 
FRONT...CURRENTLY ALONG THE GULF COAST...STARTS TO MOVE NORTH. 
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF GULF MOISTURE ARE EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE 
FRONT DURING THE NIGHT. MEANWHILE...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE 
WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE STATE AND BE LOCATED IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BY 
MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT OVER THE 
EXTREME SOUTHWEST.            

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD DURING THE EARLY 
MORNING HOURS. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL GIVE WAY TO WIDESPREAD RAIN 
DEVELOPING ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT. RAIN WILL COVER ABOUT THE 
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND WILL 
AFFECT MUCH OF THE STATE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. 

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE ONE HALF TO ONE INCH ACROSS THE 
SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE...WITH A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH IN 
AREAS FARTHER NORTHWEST. IN GENERAL...THIS WILL NOT BE ENOUGH RAIN 
TO CAUSE HIGH WATER PROBLEMS. HOWEVER...THE RAIN WILL FURTHER 
SATURATE THE GROUND. 

AS THE WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH...TEMPERATURES WILL TEND TO 
INCREASE...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL TEND TO 
DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE.  

A STORM SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TOWARD ARKANSAS FROM THE 
PLAINS ON MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. WITH A DESTABILIZED ATMOSPHERE...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME OF 
THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS 
POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

IN ADDITION TO SOME SEVERE WEATHER...HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY 
DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS. WITH A NEARLY SATURATED GROUND...HEAVY 
DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN PARTS OF THE REGION.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY AND 
WEDNESDAY...WITH DRY AND COOLER WEATHER. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM 
WILL ARRIVE FROM THE WEST ON THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ON MONDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF SEVERE WEATHER.

$$

73,
Glenn