[PBARC] Special Weather Statement

[pbarc@mailman.qth.net]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

WWUS84 KLZK 172241
SPSLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-181200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
430 PM CST MON NOV 17 2003

..SEVERE WEATHER/HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...

A STORM SYSTEM ALOFT IS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS EVENING. 
THE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT HEADS INTO ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND 
EARLY TUESDAY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INITIATE A HEAVY RAIN AND 
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT ACROSS THE REGION.

A WARM FRONT MOVED INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS TODAY...BRINGING WARM AND 
MOIST AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL HELP TO DESTABILIZE THE 
ATMOSPHERE...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. DUE 
TO THE ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER ACROSS ARKANSAS TODAY...SOME OF THE 
INSTABILITY IS LIMITED...BUT THE STRENGTH OF THE APPROACHING STORM 
SYSTEM MIGHT BE ABLE TO OVERCOME THE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE.
 
THE MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE AIR WILL BE UNUSUALLY HIGH FOR THIS TIME 
OF YEAR. THIS WILL INCREASE THE PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY...WITH 
HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAIN IN THE FORECAST. IT APPEARS THAT TWO TO 
THREE INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER 
AMOUNTS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF 
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...DUE TO THE SATURATED SOILS THERE. 

THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT THERE WILL BE A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF 
WIND ENERGY WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM. THIS ENERGY WILL TRANSLATE 
INTO FAST MOVING STORMS...WITH THE STORMS EVENTUALLY FORMING INTO A 
LINE AS THE SYSTEM DRAGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. SOME OF 
THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS. 

WITH SO MUCH WIND ENERGY...IT IS NOT OUT OF THE ORDINARY FOR 
CIRCULATIONS TO FORM ALONG LINES OF STORMS. THIS MAY OCCUR DURING 
THE UPCOMING EVENT...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE ADVISED TO PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER 
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS FOR THE 
MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION. 
          
$$

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WWWW

73,
Glenn